TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Knicks, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$428,646
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$423,290

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $428,646 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Pacers55c78,906$43,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,837.331,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Knicks46c70,000$32,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,10048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks45c54,801$24,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,704.582,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks46c38,179$17,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,415.569,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Knicks45c37,090$16,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,690.6251350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pacers55c29,514$16,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,413.522,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Pacers53c25,000$13,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,749.9940446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pacers55c22,500$12,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,1251,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Knicks47c20,000$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,40037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers52c18,555$9,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,906.3887144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Pacers55c15,388$8,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,924.4444352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Pacers52c15,040$7,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,218.7525753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Pacers52c12,986$6,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,233.4445850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Knicks37c11,505$4,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2551,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Knicks48c10,840$5,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,203.225049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks42c10,517$4,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,370.218,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6756…39f0backed Knicks48c10,315$4,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,951666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pacers55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Pacers54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,60066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Pacers52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.9935450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Knicks48c8,500$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,08060351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Knicks37c8,152$3,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,013.8252052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3022…3794backed Knicks48c8,125$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9002360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks45c7,438$3,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,355.654,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc60e…088cbacked Pacers55c6,364$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,863.641070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Knicks47c6,026$2,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,832.0515141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Pacers52c5,769$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.231,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Knicks49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pacers54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Knicks47c4,819$2,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,26520945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers53c4,602$2,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167.914,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Pacers52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Knicks20c3,968$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.7583039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Pacers53c3,555$1,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,670.8414753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Knicks47c3,300$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5516841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Knicks45c2,781$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.781,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers61c2,748$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.33,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pacers52c2,673$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.093,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Knicks48c2,429$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.921,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pacers53c2,163$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.093,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Pacers52c1,962$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.5365750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Knicks48c1,875$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9008647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Knicks45c1,637$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.652,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Knicks48c1,606$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.730446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Knicks47c1,600$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.8915650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Pacers56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66033146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Pacers52c1,442$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.3117241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f10…76b3backed Pacers72c1,390$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.651855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Pacers72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.8916848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Knicks45c1,350$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.1195651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe016…8c7bbacked Pacers53c1,220$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+48.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Knicks46c1,170$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.32,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Knicks45c1,160$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.566646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb295…e601backed Pacers65c1,072$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.424259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Knicks47c1,068$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50218241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Knicks48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Knicks27c1,011$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.23,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Pacers54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Pacers53c999.99$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Pacers52c999.98$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9929149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fc9…58c7backed Knicks48c988.6$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.532536%9 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Pacers53c951.61$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.2647856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Knicks46c905.05$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.2718446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Knicks48c827.9$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.3923850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Knicks35c788.46$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.82,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Knicks34c763.44$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.1223845.4%108 W · 130 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8126…9d18backed Pacers55c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3154953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x48c8…72a4backed Knicks46c700$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3219443.6%41 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa95d…6a82backed Knicks37c660.39$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.252931%9 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x240d…a928backed Knicks49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016440.9%67 W · 97 L-13.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Pacers53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2824264.3%27 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pacers77c582.47$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.543,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Knicks44c541.01$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.5825840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f1…04e9backed Knicks48c518.6$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.934445.5%20 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Knicks47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23591050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Knicks48c480.41$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.192568%17 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Pacers52c457.04$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.9584150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2f…fa00backed Knicks45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03fa…02bbbacked Knicks34c437.39$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507838.5%30 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Knicks47c425.52$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.992,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Knicks48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Knicks46c400.96$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1845448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783b…536bbacked Knicks48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Pacers55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6417845.5%81 W · 97 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Knicks45c355.65$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4976250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Knicks46c350$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.543544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Pacers54c331.09$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.385147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Knicks46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025347%119 W · 134 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Pacers53c325$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.7562347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4aa…f1c7backed Knicks48c320$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Knicks48c307.46$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5851146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Knicks43c300.53$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.855,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Pacers53c300$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.250653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Pacers52c299.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14491148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Pacers52c296.04$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.0416254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb6d…3416backed Knicks48c290$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Knicks16c285.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1230616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Knicks48c283.33$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13632450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Knicks46c280$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.420651%105 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Pacers55c277.08$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.6949358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.