TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,725
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,800

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,725 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8764…604abacked Over54c32,300$17,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,980.297266.7%48 W · 24 L+14.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Under50c12,030$5,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,993.7618747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Under47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7006152.5%32 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under50c5,269$2,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,634.525049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c4,457$2,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,078.814,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under46c3,765$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7322,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over51c3,504$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.8369149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under46c3,478$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Over51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47013954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c2,774$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.776,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e62…c90dbacked Over50c2,657$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under46c2,500$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1501,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5959…b005backed Under50c2,447$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over52c1,460$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.858347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Under43c1,382$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.255865.5%38 W · 20 L+9.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+31.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under49c1,143$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56042648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Over56c1,058$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.821580%12 W · 3 L+4.7wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+73%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under46c1,015$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.763,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over55c1,009$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.0585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under49c887$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.6331644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c721.82$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.133,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under49c627$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.3562347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee57…b2b6backed Under51c594.99$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.93330.3%10 W · 23 L-6.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-44.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under44c524$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.561,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c508.12$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.799,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c455.35$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.948,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010048%48 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Under49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008158%47 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19616148.4%78 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c378.27$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.194,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6133…9613backed Under49c347$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.03850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Under49c335$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.1528751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under49c213$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3724946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under45c211.11$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9518241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf82…c34dbacked Under43c206.98$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004341.9%18 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under41c192.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5925840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3147048.5%228 W · 242 L-18.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under50c167.87$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9411351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under46c167.02$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.833,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…649cbacked Under48c163$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.249269.6%64 W · 28 L+12.1wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over54c130.01$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.113,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over50c126.59$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.395047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x306a…cebabacked Under50c121$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6045146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under45c105.26$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4291148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over52c104.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7750351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa95d…6a82backed Under46c104.59$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.112931%9 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.177152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Over51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0412152.1%63 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over58c97$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1459141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over60c95.79$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.463,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed Under50c95.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7214643.8%64 W · 82 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5daa…5becbacked Under50c89$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.540%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x31d7…42c1backed Under46c75.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.682661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+35.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Under53c75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7533360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over52c75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.761,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over50c71.46$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7339756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeff4…406bbacked Over52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Over51c58.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6116052.5%84 W · 76 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Under45c54.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4416036.3%58 W · 102 L-15.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over57c52.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3857657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under49c50.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8433653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under50c48.24$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2418055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6c4…c5dbbacked Under44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206549.2%32 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over58c44.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8140849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Under49c42.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2113751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over61c42.24$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4762546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Under50c41.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2115453.2%82 W · 72 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209050%45 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x752e…ecbfbacked Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204837.5%18 W · 30 L-6.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfffb…5f95backed Over51c38.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8424150.2%121 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1925…8249backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4611252.7%59 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under49c36.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0236351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Under50c36.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1815253.3%81 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a79…82acbacked Under46c35.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Under54c33.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1814455.6%80 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under44c32.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3339047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Over55c30.94$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9250841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Over51c30.89$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under42c30.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8624330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c46…c777backed Under49c30.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.441251%210 W · 202 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb665…0a43backed Under55c24.73$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.55234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Over52c24.52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7735551.3%182 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Under50c23.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.922462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e5…292fbacked Over50c22.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.443847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.