TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$196,650
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$198,137

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,650 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8764…604abacked Over51c60,782$30,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,862.457266.7%48 W · 24 L+14.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c41,764$19,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,845.679,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Under50c22,132$11,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,0667638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x967a…84e4backed Under0c15,760$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e9b…945abacked Over55c15,752$8,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,092.684151.2%21 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over53c13,962$7,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,619.854,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under49c12,500$6,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,124.9966250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcd…355abacked Under45c11,884$5,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,347.87536%27 W · 48 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c9,995$4,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,997.441,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Under51c9,900$5,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,04318747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c9,035$4,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,427.132,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Over53c5,255$2,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,469.7220948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x306a…cebabacked Over48c5,011$2,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,603.72450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c3,938$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.183,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under45c3,612$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.5654539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c2,662$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.186,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5959…b005backed Under52c2,384$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.68450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under7c2,297$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.590357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e62…c90dbacked Under52c2,101$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c2,063$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.53,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96019147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c1,744$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.174,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under49c1,639$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.791,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x858e…a4abbacked Under4c1,525$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.172222.7%5 W · 17 L-6.3wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-57.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under51c1,118$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.1847856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over55c900$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40522648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over50c868.3$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.1523850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over49c865.31$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.3129347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Over55c727.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.272568%17 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabba…e3ebbacked Over49c713.95$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.111361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under46c570.89$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.7925840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee57…b2b6backed Under52c485.24$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.023330.3%10 W · 23 L-6.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-44.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xeba1…44dfbacked Over54c481.48$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.484641.3%19 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over49c436.97$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.852,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Under51c394.48$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over53c372.9$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.261,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Over54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3731551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over53c364.09$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.0113951.1%71 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5daa…5becbacked Under52c326$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.5240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Over55c310.18$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.5817960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeeab…276fbacked Under52c309.62$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1613745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under51c263.8$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5424955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Under52c230.77$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under10c230.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.081,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over49c204.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0863447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10432450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10017035.9%61 W · 109 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.55,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Under51c125.49$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6424358%141 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under47c115.19$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1462541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under48c105.53$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6591148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over52c104.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.41,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014643.8%64 W · 82 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5966046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5918852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under47c89.31$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9853149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under32c83.83$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7139047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Over50c68.78$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3917750.8%90 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Over54c64.26$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.77346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4892…27bcbacked Under52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304369.8%30 W · 13 L+6.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+34.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over50c55.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9935049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Over55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5514654.8%80 W · 66 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e7…51d6backed Under52c51.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.518157.5%104 W · 77 L+21.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0825…5e07backed Under43c48.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.061844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under50c48.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0533653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae56…8c22backed Over54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6c4…c5dbbacked Under45c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206549.2%32 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Over53c40.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9824045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa353…d605backed Under47c40.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c46…c777backed Under51c40.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.27955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e12…9ba1backed Under52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.82454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed Over50c39.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9919543.1%84 W · 111 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over61c38.66$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.963,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over54c36.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1718150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under47c35.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7938347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdda3…f5f5backed Over54c32.87$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.123040%12 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under48c32.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.845460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Over53c30.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4750841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd6…16abbacked Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510558.1%61 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Under53c28.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9940849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd84…9f62backed Under50c25.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9814352.4%75 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x640d…3168backed Over55c25.96$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.763452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4906…46a1backed Over54c25.92$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.823351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8a…4b6cbacked Under52c24.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.758749.4%43 W · 44 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x571c…0bb5backed Over54c22.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.237058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaed4…4cc9backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109439.4%37 W · 57 L-9.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x612e…8427backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+37.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.