TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd84…9f62

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
293
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: World Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST14352.4%75 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 143 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lakers (-7.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$48.48
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$45.04
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$49.71
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$49.66
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+102.5%+$50.22
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+117.4%+$29.35
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+112.8%+$28.19
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+108.3%+$27.08
Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$17.98
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$11.74
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$46.78
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$34.68
Showing 25 of 143 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST3354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$32.12
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+57.5%+$28.12
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$32.78
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$20.12
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.81
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+40.8%+$10.21
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$19.44
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$37.84
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25.9
Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+98.3%+$12.3
Blackhawks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$18.51
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.73
Sabres vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+58.4%+$57.73
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+82.5%+$50.93
Maple Leafs vs. Flamesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+44.1%+$27.01
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$118.7
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+101.5%+$40.53
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50.85
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21.54
Islanders vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$21.72
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$16.57
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+60%+$17.05
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$45.97
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST2955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.09
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$29.5
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$29.6
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$29.33
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+156.4%+$22.31
Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$28.7
Will Watford FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+60%+$17.57
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+132.6%+$33.14
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+127.3%+$31.82
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$74.11
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$10.19
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Brentford FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5.46
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$95.03
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$26.1
AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+150%+$22.49
Fulham FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$36.18
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$11.14
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$18.15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+130.3%+$130.11
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+71.8%+$53.96
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+57.1%+$11.83
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$99.55
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$33.43
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+64.1%+$63.03
Will Watford FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.6%+$10.67
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$74.76
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Valencia CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$72.72
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.25
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.02
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+49.9%+$25.64
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed RCD Mallorca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$94.49
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$12.21
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+45.8%+$24.4
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+54.1%+$27
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+53.8%+$8.81
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+92.3%+$34.38
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.8wins-0.37per pick60cpaid-62.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$32.1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.76
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$190.93
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$52.21
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.47
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+87.9%+$16.28
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$88.92
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$294.65
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.45
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$49.52
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+71.4%+$21.54
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Jailton Almeida (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Kuniev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+144.1%+$30.23
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Amir Albazi (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Albazi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Michal Oleksiejczuk vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Barriault · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.25
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$68.09
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+117.2%+$98.32
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Hooker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$98.31
UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+34.4%+$33.94
UFC 325: Elekana vs. Tafa (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Tafa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$94.89
UFC 325: Brundage vs. Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Rowston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29.9%+$12.75
UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Malkoun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+75.7%+$30.93
UFC 325: Sebastian Szalay vs. Keiichiro Nakamura (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Szalay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$16.84
UFC 325: Lawrence Lui vs. Sulangrangbo (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)backed Sulangrangbo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.15
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$74.1
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Olympique de Marseille · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.73
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$65.9
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.72
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.68
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+165.5%+$70.87
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$34.95
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+92.8%+$92.47
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.89
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$20.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$127.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on February 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.