TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Kings, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,427,178
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,644,773

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,427,178 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 484 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Kings39c315,076$122,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122,776.3419848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Hurricanes61c277,011$168,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,013.1156152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Kings39c254,015$99,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,065.8310840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Hurricanes61c152,849$93,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,611.14875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Hurricanes61c77,100$47,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,06948549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kings39c41,618$16,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,025.841,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Kings39c36,106$14,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,081.319548.4%46 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hurricanes61c33,858$20,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,203.5679350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2eb…562dbacked Hurricanes61c33,000$20,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,8701100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Hurricanes61c30,000$18,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,70025449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Kings26c24,358$6,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,261.21,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hurricanes61c20,000$12,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,8001,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Hurricanes61c16,000$9,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,24061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Hurricanes80c15,052$12,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,010.4951452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hurricanes61c14,752$8,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,753.2861953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e8…731cbacked Kings38c14,337$5,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,447.976835.3%24 W · 44 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xebbb…4214backed Hurricanes57c13,387$7,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,707.1112835.9%46 W · 82 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Hurricanes61c13,115$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,114.758848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Kings24c12,573$3,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,013.3348545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Kings26c12,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,15026849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings14c11,805$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.2289636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Hurricanes76c11,111$8,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,666.6410745.8%49 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Kings38c11,000$4,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,18010145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Kings39c10,800$4,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,212.0413553.3%72 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c23…2890backed Hurricanes64c10,200$6,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,639.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xac3c…d637backed Kings36c10,200$3,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,639.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Hurricanes63c9,950$6,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,681.6456649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Kings1c9,346$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.462174.1%9 W · 208 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Kings7c8,154$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.9915057.3%86 W · 64 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Hurricanes61c8,125$4,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,168.7822747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kings38c8,000$3,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0401,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Kings37c7,000$2,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,589.9950049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Hurricanes61c6,833$4,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,631.5425447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Kings37c6,500$2,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4051,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Hurricanes61c6,000$3,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3204841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Hurricanes61c5,922$3,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,309.428252.4%43 W · 39 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Kings20c5,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kings38c4,132$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55560337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hurricanes61c4,063$2,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.312,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed Kings40c4,023$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.672147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Kings39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56015749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Kings39c3,790$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,46026946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings26c3,641$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.643,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Kings38c3,320$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.644551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb2f…936abacked Hurricanes61c3,295$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.038664%55 W · 31 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+30.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Hurricanes61c3,279$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.6918258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Hurricanes61c3,200$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.9933652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hurricanes62c3,155$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.361950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Kings36c3,085$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.6267051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Hurricanes61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kings39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Kings39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kings40c2,750$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10085250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Hurricanes62c2,742$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.945752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Kings40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Hurricanes61c2,459$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.0231550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Hurricanes61c2,459$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.021241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Hurricanes77c2,451$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.7639344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Kings38c2,368$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90028152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Hurricanes60c2,366$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.2738748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Hurricanes62c2,238$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.3745955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Hurricanes62c2,006$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.4163249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kings36c1,955$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.932,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Hurricanes61c1,939$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.0816254.9%89 W · 73 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hurricanes61c1,785$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.021,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…5effbacked Hurricanes63c1,732$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.683040%12 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Hurricanes61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.3414654.1%79 W · 67 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa383…417cbacked Kings38c1,596$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.65560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5cb…8f9ebacked Hurricanes63c1,596$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Hurricanes67c1,546$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.1518344.8%82 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Hurricanes58c1,524$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.087361.6%45 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Kings15c1,513$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.451,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hurricanes62c1,500$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Hurricanes61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58533345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Kings38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5702147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeee…7c09backed Kings3c1,365$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+64.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f4…5bc0backed Kings38c1,331$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.357138%27 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Kings38c1,324$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014940.9%61 W · 88 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Kings39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015252%79 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9719…6ffabacked Kings39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002722.2%6 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-49.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf958…5a02backed Hurricanes57c1,221$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.211450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6140…4c87backed Kings18c1,129$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8120…057dbacked Kings3c1,100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+159.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Kings1c1,090$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.91458.3%12 W · 133 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+135.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings27c1,074$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.911,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Kings2c1,047$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7933154.1%179 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Kings4c1,009$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.291076.5%7 W · 100 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Hurricanes62c1,000$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38562346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Hurricanes61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39012947.3%61 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Kings39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39089249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Hurricanes61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39010158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Kings2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206750.7%34 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x769c…5c05backed Kings27c986$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Kings17c976.34$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.674353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d46…cf8bbacked Hurricanes61c900$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x293f…3e52backed Kings23c899.98$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2075736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hurricanes63c888$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.641,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Hurricanes80c860$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17217247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Kings22c850.48$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.1313348.1%64 W · 69 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hurricanes62c824$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.021,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.