NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb51b9a911d2c5303f0ae6c040576c5877b53b03fadd1f77ff32e626bc4830242
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Hurricanes, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Kings | 61c | 4,788$2,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.57 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hurricanes | 39c | 2,202$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.47 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Hurricanes | 51c | 2,075$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.14 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Hurricanes | 39c | 1,538$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Kings | 50c | 1,132$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.89 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings | 48c | 1,025$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.61 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 59c | 752.89$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.51 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Hurricanes | 39c | 752$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.28 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Kings | 53c | 719.5$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.16 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hurricanes | 47c | 669.5$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.67 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Hurricanes | 39c | 563.23$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.66 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Hurricanes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed Kings | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes | 50c | 429.45$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.1 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Hurricanes | 40c | 344$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Hurricanes | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kings | 60c | 280$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.2 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Kings | 57c | 205.58$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.58 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Hurricanes | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.31 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…24dbbacked Kings | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked Hurricanes | 51c | 170$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Kings | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Hurricanes | 39c | 142.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 249 | 49.8%124 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Hurricanes | 54c | 140.74$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 47c | 139.51$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Kings | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Kings | 46c | 129.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 162 | 37%60 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…a86bbacked Hurricanes | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Kings | 22c | 115$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Kings | 46c | 105.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +16.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Hurricanes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…25e3backed Hurricanes | 41c | 87.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206d…b96cbacked Hurricanes | 39c | 83.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Kings | 61c | 81.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hurricanes | 39c | 78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…f041backed Hurricanes | 56c | 77.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kings | 47c | 65.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Kings | 48c | 65.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hurricanes | 29c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Hurricanes | 53c | 63.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hurricanes | 29c | 62.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Kings | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Hurricanes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Kings | 61c | 55.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Hurricanes | 39c | 53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Hurricanes | 40c | 50.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Kings | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Hurricanes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf9…d6f0backed Hurricanes | 49c | 46.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bee…aa9ebacked Hurricanes | 53c | 44.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Kings | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Hurricanes | 39c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…bfb7backed Kings | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Kings | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…790fbacked Hurricanes | 40c | 27.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Kings | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Kings vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Kings vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.