TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Lorient win on 2026-01-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$692,757
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$719,035

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $692,757 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd25c…4d20backed No49c518,376$256,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256,195.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes51c427,707$216,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210,983.149159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Yes50c40,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,000650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes76c38,714$29,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,463.833246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No49c29,691$14,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,682.4862648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2eb…562dbacked Yes52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,6001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No48c11,000$5,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,279.7813348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes51c10,035$5,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,914.693857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed No50c9,848$4,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,907650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Yes51c9,804$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.92850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes68c8,520$5,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,707.5471140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Yes52c8,000$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8401631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No38c7,818$2,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,952.731,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes50c7,370$3,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,659.4687344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes51c6,500$3,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2106553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Yes52c6,325$3,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,062.921485.7%12 W · 2 L+4.7wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+72.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c6,019$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,132.231,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,94012839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked No49c5,102$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes51c4,622$2,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,273.2652550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Yes51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.572356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes51c3,921$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.2921143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No25c3,203$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.837638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50014654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Yes51c2,960$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.753259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2259355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes52c2,115$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.389458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdc…b5e9backed Yes21c2,065$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.12520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No42c1,932$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.5948649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No5c1,634$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9226040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes45c1,486$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.343447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes52c1,310$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.3824044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes51c1,003$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.474459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49011735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes22c909.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.323141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Yes48c889.54$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.56875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+51.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No8c887.39$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0615071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes23c885.85$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.645040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes51c730$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.717043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a78…1e03backed Yes77c700.65$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No48c699.98$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.993748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Yes51c641.47$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.431442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed No49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001020%2 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-61.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes21c600$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.051163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+51.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Yes52c567.55$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.471861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Yes18c550.35$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.544330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Yes52c498.32$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.762128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes22c482.05$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.0511725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2da4…2b9cbacked Yes76c480.87$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.413100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+64.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Yes52c401.58$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.761258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Yes51c400$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.54146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004632.6%15 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes51c399.45$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.8128448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.162744.4%12 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Yes51c384.21$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.543868.4%26 W · 12 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes51c351$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.994151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No9c308.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7335037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed No49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+60.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No49c300$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.514045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91f3…0d57backed No49c295.92$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Yes50c274.56$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.641346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Yes50c256.69$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.354751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No30c244.01$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3933938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Yes51c226.24$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.862948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes47c222$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+63.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes51c217.24$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8429949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Yes52c208.33$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9622340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005052%26 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989355.9%52 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb227…127cbacked Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No30c197.21$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.399535.8%34 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Yes52c193.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd84…9f62backed Yes52c192.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.47944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe05b…0912backed Yes53c188.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+60.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f9d…d03dbacked Yes21c165$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Yes52c144$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.122850%14 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Yes51c143.45$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.293348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes51c141.18$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1823250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a60…24dfbacked Yes52c132.26$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.872152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3aa…7a89backed Yes48c125.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.14650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes22c124.09$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.092015%3 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe02…80f9backed Yes9c122.6$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.182100%2 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+904.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc82a…cc74backed Yes50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cb…2087backed Yes51c113.73$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.731070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+31.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No72c105.9$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0935650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.172040%8 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked No47c101.1$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.521330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505635.7%20 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa01…473cbacked Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+40%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes52c98.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.084557.8%26 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes21c93.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.687044.3%31 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d89…e466backed Yes52c83.84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b79…6a80backed Yes76c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.