TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$451,080
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$454,906

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $451,080 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Over53c139,999$74,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,799.6532653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over53c56,744$30,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,669.760351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8764…604abacked Over54c52,186$28,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,100.747266.7%48 W · 24 L+14.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c42,025$19,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,761.142,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c40,288$18,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,733.445,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under46c29,903$13,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,755.281,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under47c18,798$8,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,844.8111351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under47c15,460$7,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,266.224045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c14,957$7,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,038.939,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under46c14,108$6,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,490.343,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Under49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.9918747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c8,600$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under47c8,567$4,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,026.6571547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under47c8,475$3,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,983.1640350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Under47c8,281$3,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8927552%39 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over50c7,882$3,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,937.1769149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over54c7,614$4,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,527.653,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under47c6,630$3,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,11625452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under47c6,383$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00029347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over51c5,425$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,658.348352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under47c5,364$2,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,520.9719754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under47c4,814$2,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,262.5317550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c4,759$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,260.046,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over52c4,745$2,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,278.621,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c4,399$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,098.614,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Under47c4,044$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.819445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb452…547ebacked Over53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c4,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8604,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad6…8723backed Under47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,84079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c3,926$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.132,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under47c3,849$1,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,813.338946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Under47c3,404$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6008647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under47c3,280$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.6215147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under47c3,198$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.2866646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c2,889$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.594,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under47c2,662$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.0170246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Over54c2,500$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1504654.3%25 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c2,440$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.438,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under50c2,128$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.0424549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Over55c1,866$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.079952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under47c1,572$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.830446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33cd…ae2abacked Under50c1,490$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a34…f4f5backed Under50c1,490$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88b6…f030backed Under50c1,490$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8016…75ebbacked Under50c1,490$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb278…382dbacked Under50c1,490$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b6d…fc37backed Under50c1,490$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a88…5d09backed Under50c1,490$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8fb…d5b4backed Under50c1,490$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d91…3988backed Under50c1,490$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…852dbacked Under50c1,490$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc914…aca4backed Under50c1,490$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73b1…8b1bbacked Under50c1,490$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d04…0771backed Over50c1,490$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fc…c161backed Over50c1,490$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd400…500abacked Over50c1,490$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27e5…d0fcbacked Over50c1,490$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe10…49a6backed Over50c1,490$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd95…19f0backed Over50c1,490$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2271…88b7backed Over50c1,490$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6154…4c3cbacked Over50c1,490$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c5…7f50backed Over50c1,490$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf060…3138backed Over50c1,490$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc732…9447backed Over50c1,490$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1b…c155backed Over50c1,490$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc102…0a23backed Over50c1,490$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x592e…abf3backed Over50c1,490$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2891…f672backed Under50c1,490$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc6e…5e86backed Under50c1,490$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf355…fa4cbacked Under50c1,490$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0518…e246backed Under50c1,490$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc355…8d25backed Under50c1,490$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a4…631cbacked Under50c1,490$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5803…0156backed Under50c1,490$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a0f…4d9fbacked Under50c1,490$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e7e…f184backed Under50c1,490$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f10…39a9backed Under50c1,490$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x584e…4f69backed Under50c1,490$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x903b…9dc3backed Over50c1,490$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc533…1e61backed Under50c1,490$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9136…dad5backed Over50c1,490$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7109…b176backed Under50c1,490$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa518…51b2backed Over50c1,490$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…f551backed Over50c1,490$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…e9bbbacked Over50c1,490$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0014…ba1cbacked Over50c1,490$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5346…f89bbacked Over50c1,490$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ee…d660backed Over50c1,490$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34d0…4e1bbacked Over50c1,490$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa30c…4c3fbacked Over50c1,490$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under47c1,373$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.191,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over30c1,220$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8542,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under46c1,217$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.822,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e7b…4558backed Over50c1,190$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over55c1,178$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.1823052.6%121 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Under49c1,170$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.3751146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over54c1,082$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.4641947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under44c784.38$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.1329650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.