NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Suns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e757ef155e36d4f8f1170b9cc466f26951eb926b7ffdfa6b6974e1a668e7289
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Mavericks, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,048,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,085,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,048,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,702 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8764…604abacked Mavericks | 26c | 581,764$149,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149,811.44 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…c7e3backed Suns | 75c | 500,000$375,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,268.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Mavericks | 27c | 103,836$27,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,635.61 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Suns | 73c | 87,081$63,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,256.8 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Mavericks | 26c | 78,161$20,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,321.94 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 73c | 73,583$53,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,838.85 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434c…c096backed Mavericks | 27c | 52,659$14,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,215.93 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mavericks | 0c | 47,851$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.06 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Suns | 75c | 46,021$34,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,445.02 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mavericks | 24c | 45,725$10,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,974.05 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Mavericks | 26c | 43,304$11,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,259.15 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Suns | 73c | 42,737$31,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,538.9 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Mavericks | 25c | 40,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 73c | 39,399$28,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,510.85 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Suns | 74c | 35,993$26,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,356.33 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Mavericks | 24c | 35,000$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,549.97 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Mavericks | 1c | 32,633$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.72 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mavericks | 2c | 31,995$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.1 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…0fa2backed Mavericks | 27c | 29,252$7,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,898.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Suns | 73c | 28,068$20,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,578.49 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Mavericks | 26c | 25,005$6,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,501.3 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Mavericks | 2c | 25,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.46 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mavericks | 3c | 24,565$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.48 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bc…5a82backed Suns | 74c | 23,817$17,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,192.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Mavericks | 2c | 21,138$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.93 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Suns | 73c | 20,099$14,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,426.62 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Mavericks | 27c | 20,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Suns | 75c | 20,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked Mavericks | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Mavericks | 1c | 19,927$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.27 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Suns | 73c | 18,750$13,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,062.5 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Suns | 74c | 18,634$13,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,792.44 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Suns | 73c | 16,297$11,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,324.67 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Suns | 77c | 16,095$12,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,758.6 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mavericks | 3c | 15,550$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.25 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Suns | 73c | 15,370$11,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,126.36 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Suns | 73c | 14,000$10,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.98 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked Mavericks | 27c | 14,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.96 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Suns | 76c | 13,303$10,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.83 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Suns | 73c | 13,300$9,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,591 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Mavericks | 27c | 13,300$3,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,590.94 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Suns | 73c | 12,974$9,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,502.98 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Mavericks | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Mavericks | 25c | 11,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd72f…2806backed Mavericks | 2c | 10,872$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 77c | 10,838$8,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.69 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Mavericks | 27c | 10,500$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…e299backed Suns | 73c | 10,500$7,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.97 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Mavericks | 1c | 10,162$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.73 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Mavericks | 27c | 10,081$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Suns | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Suns | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Suns | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Mavericks | 1c | 10,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938f…f13fbacked Mavericks | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Mavericks | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Mavericks | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.98 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Mavericks | 27c | 9,999$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.73 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Mavericks | 26c | 9,357$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.74 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks | 8c | 9,356$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.64 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Suns | 74c | 9,324$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.32 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mavericks | 1c | 8,699$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Suns | 74c | 8,365$6,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.51 | 369 | 50.1%185 W · 184 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Mavericks | 27c | 8,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Mavericks | 27c | 7,856$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.81 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb5…f7cebacked Mavericks | 1c | 7,761$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mavericks | 1c | 7,640$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Suns | 74c | 7,517$5,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.31 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Mavericks | 2c | 7,207$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.62 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Suns | 73c | 6,855$5,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.89 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Suns | 76c | 6,579$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.95 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Mavericks | 25c | 6,471$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.84 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Mavericks | 2c | 6,121$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.82 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 25c | 6,100$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Suns | 73c | 6,000$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.99 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Mavericks | 9c | 5,987$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.15 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed Mavericks | 25c | 5,924$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.25 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Mavericks | 25c | 5,771$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.68 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Suns | 73c | 5,718$4,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.86 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…d8c6backed Mavericks | 18c | 5,369$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Mavericks | 4c | 5,328$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Mavericks | 26c | 5,061$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.66 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Suns | 73c | 5,014$3,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.64 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Mavericks | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Suns | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…d35fbacked Mavericks | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Mavericks | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.97 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Mavericks | 25c | 4,955$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.75 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Suns | 74c | 4,914$3,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.96 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Suns | 73c | 4,841$3,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.05 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…16cbbacked Mavericks | 27c | 4,735$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Suns | 74c | 4,677$3,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.01 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Mavericks | 3c | 4,643$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.57 | 334 | 28.1%94 W · 240 L | -20.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…fbfebacked Mavericks | 27c | 4,296$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.92 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks | 11c | 4,120$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.26 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Mavericks | 1c | 4,017$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb452…547ebacked Mavericks | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Mavericks | 26c | 3,977$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.96 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Suns | 74c | 3,974$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.32 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Mavericks | 26c | 3,846$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Sunsthis page
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 225.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 226.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 227.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 228.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 229.5Over won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-7.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-8.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.