NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0896c8075025860f1448ee87bd2c9c59954101af696e2d8662c9f598587c56ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8764…604abacked Over | 56c | 65,074$36,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,900.13 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 40,590$18,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,062.13 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 13,234$5,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,969.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 54c | 9,453$5,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,348.53 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 45c | 6,641$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.91 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 44c | 5,041$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52af…7f00backed Over | 55c | 4,046$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4c…9adcbacked Under | 45c | 3,922$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 3,793$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.88 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 45c | 3,074$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.72 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 55c | 2,807$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.15 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992f…c042backed Under | 45c | 2,209$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c3…f367backed Over | 55c | 2,082$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 2,007$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.43 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 60c | 1,964$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.46 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 1,733$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.07 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Under | 70c | 1,719$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 40c | 1,604$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.19 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 1,311$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 44c | 1,273$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.12 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 1,138$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227a…9e95backed Under | 45c | 1,014$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba9…3175backed Over | 55c | 999.05$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 13c | 648.94$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 59c | 609$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.31 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…bd36backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…ea2bbacked Over | 52c | 520$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 44c | 500.25$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.11 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…78d7backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 481.4$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.02 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…6133backed Over | 55c | 460.25$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 55c | 459.76$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.08 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Under | 46c | 458$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 44c | 454.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Over | 54c | 440$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 433.97$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.34 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…a8c0backed Under | 50c | 420$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f1…0212backed Under | 45c | 412.23$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 361.76$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.94 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…f2e3backed Under | 48c | 336.17$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.36 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 54c | 304.98$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.04 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Over | 40c | 251.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.25 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…7017backed Under | 61c | 247.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 41c | 243.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.17 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 43c | 220.86$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.86 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 60c | 216.57$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.76 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Over | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…fc12backed Over | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 45c | 173$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Under | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6d…be7bbacked Under | 45c | 129.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 58c | 125.87$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 22c | 123.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed Over | 52c | 117.84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…73ecbacked Over | 52c | 110.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…cbc0backed Over | 52c | 107.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 44c | 103$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 101.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7664…0d44backed Over | 55c | 97.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Over | 42c | 97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Over | 43c | 91.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…0320backed Under | 47c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 45c | 78.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc05e…c64dbacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 33c | 63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…575cbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 46c | 56.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d75…4850backed Over | 58c | 55.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 47c | 52.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2386…1a2dbacked Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…c7e6backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 61c | 45.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Over | 45c | 44.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 216 | 37.5%81 W · 135 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12b…b5d2backed Under | 48c | 41.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…f5f5backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 226 | 46.9%106 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 44c | 34.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 44c | 34.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 45c | 31.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Over | 51c | 30.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 59c | 30.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Over | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 56c | 28.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 53c | 27.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 39c | 25.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Over | 61c | 24.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 226.5this page
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. SunsSuns won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 225.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 227.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 228.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 229.5Over won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-7.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-8.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.