NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0c2efe97f790494c030769b30db64590ed1f1339d1dee955cbe2aec0991df53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8764…604abacked Over | 58c | 22,415$12,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,477.09 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 42c | 13,756$5,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,841.75 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 5,540$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.28 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 3,699$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.36 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 51c | 3,439$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.2 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 48c | 3,222$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.6 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 51c | 3,187$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.81 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 42c | 2,438$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.59 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Under | 53c | 2,435$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…6d59backed Over | 52c | 1,922$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.34 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 42c | 1,333$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.86 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 55c | 1,092$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.21 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,050$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 57c | 1,013$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 42c | 775.66$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.53 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 51c | 690.98$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.35 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Over | 53c | 379.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.23 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 42c | 362.76$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.4 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 76c | 333.96$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…7017backed Under | 57c | 300.05$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 42c | 298.96$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 50c | 268.89$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.89 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 52c | 219$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.88 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 48c | 208.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.51 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Over | 50c | 208.2$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…24d4backed Over | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 51c | 155.95$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 40c | 155$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 49c | 153.71$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.13 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Under | 52c | 152.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 135.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 44c | 134.3$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Over | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 55c | 121.82$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 44c | 112.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Over | 55c | 110.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 47c | 100.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa95d…6a82backed Under | 52c | 92.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Over | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…c7e6backed Over | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Over | 56c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 69.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 59c | 66.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 51c | 52.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 42c | 49.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Under | 51c | 47.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…52d7backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Under | 43c | 38.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…cf1dbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Under | 65c | 33.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fc…47eebacked Under | 54c | 28.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Over | 48c | 26.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Over | 49c | 25.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Under | 55c | 25.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…3a5cbacked Under | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc054…7877backed Over | 58c | 22.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 59c | 20.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7109…a765backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 225.5this page
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. SunsSuns won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 226.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 227.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 228.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 229.5Over won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-7.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-8.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.