TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd1fc…47ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
199
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: College Football, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST4555.6%25 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15.36
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$37.85
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+170.3%+$33.2
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.68
Cavaliers vs. Kingsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+73%+$25.83
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+56.6%+$6.7
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12.47
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$73.94
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25%+$8.5
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+50.4%+$33.79
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+31.4%+$63.79
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+29.4%+$12.86
Kings vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+27.1%+$29.29
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Kings vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+90.6%+$17.22
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$11.44
Nets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+26%+$30.95
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+37%+$9.25
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+37.1%+$15.94
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT4252.4%22 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.21
Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
US Open, Qualification ATP: Braden Shick vs Clement Taburbacked Braden Shick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.86
Winston-Salem Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$16.25
Winston-Salem Open: Jan Choinski vs Mees Rottgeringbacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
Set 1 Winner: Bejlek vs Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13.54
Set 1 Winner: Nakashima vs Tiafoebacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.84
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$45.81
Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moellerbacked Marvin Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.09
Cincinnati Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$40.6
Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.23
Canadian Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Duncan Chanbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.28
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Kyrian Jacquetbacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Set 1 Winner: Shevchenko vs Jacquetbacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.75
Targu Mures: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Francesca Jonesbacked Kaitlin Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.57
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs Michelsenbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.62
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.95
Segovia: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Massimo Giuntabacked Massimo Giunta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Winnipeg: Yosuke Watanuki vs Andre Ilaganbacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.52
Estoril Open: Titouan Droguet vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.86
Estoril Open, Qualification: Joao Domingues vs Timofey Skatovbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$11.4
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Sofia Costoulas vs Nao Hibinobacked Nao Hibino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$12.04
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT3951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SEA vs. TEN: O/U 37.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+189.7%+$83.87
Seahawks vs. Titansbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.33
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$49.45
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$157.64
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+27.3%+$49.45
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+220.9%+$26.51
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+188.5%+$86.69
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.2%+$12.08
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.78
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+122.3%+$59.95
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+56.7%+$45.37
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$21.46
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+49.3%+$10.34
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST2751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+188%+$39.49
Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.54
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.09
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$12.31
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$25.83
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+46.6%+$19.09
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+78.6%+$13.9
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$51.4
Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.97
Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.3
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.98
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$15.17
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.97
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$10.99
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.3
Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$16.16
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$23.25
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$27.43
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.92
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.76
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$32.69
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.34
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13.61
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$4.9
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.22
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.55
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$199.57
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.31
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.07
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$14.26
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$13.86
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+49.3%+$11.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+29.1%+$56.34
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+63.9%+$54.34
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+66.7%+$14
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+63.8%+$33.79
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. St. Francis (PA) Red Flashbacked Stonehill Skyhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+32.6%+$22.99
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Western Carolina Catamountsbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.85
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+54.1%+$12.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.3%+$11.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs Netherlands (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Oilersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+28.6%+$5.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial (BO5) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.