NFL · resolved market
SEA vs. TEN: O/U 37.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2885083e794cee860724952dc782e01aeaad5bd9c03657e2c1780952075eaee2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4f9…c9a7backed Over | 51c | 39,739$20,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,266.83 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 9,793$4,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.57 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 49c | 5,113$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.63 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 3,083$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.13 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 2,559$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 50c | 1,778$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +173.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 49c | 1,530$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.3 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…81d2backed Over | 48c | 1,500$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 51c | 1,288$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.61 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 1,207$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.27 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Over | 59c | 1,103$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 50c | 777.94$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 53c | 758.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.54 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 47c | 748.54$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.64 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 256$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.88 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…6769backed Under | 52c | 250.6$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 68c | 220.92$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.09 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Under | 37c | 208.54$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.39 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over | 6c | 207$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Over | 52c | 183.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 47c | 183.25$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Under | 49c | 146.62$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.78 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over | 55c | 145$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 67c | 133.93$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 119 | 58%69 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fc…47eebacked Under | 35c | 128.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.87 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Under | 34c | 114$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccb…bdc4backed Over | 51c | 111.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 62c | 110.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 56c | 99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Under | 49c | 91.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…7137backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 55c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4a…4b20backed Over | 67c | 62.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 59.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Under | 50c | 46.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 50c | 44.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked Under | 31c | 44.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…fe6bbacked Under | 59c | 34.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee18…724abacked Under | 51c | 32.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Over | 49c | 31.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 49c | 30.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4867backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 22.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 52c | 20.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 78c | 15.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SEA vs. TEN: O/U 37.5this page
- 1H Spread: Titans (-2.5)Seahawks won
- SEA vs. TEN: O/U 38.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. TitansTitans won
- Seahawks vs. Titans: 1H MoneylineSeahawks won
- Spread: TEN (-1.5)TEN won
- Spread: TEN (-2.5)TEN won
- Spread: TEN (-3.5)SEA won
- Spread: TEN (-4.5)SEA won
- Spread: TEN (-5.5)SEA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.