Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c2db2e24c774798f532c5bce605e6eadd89aeb125ab53f68ba3b66a47f7f0d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 21,330$9,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,591.65 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 55c | 12,821$7,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,782.16 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…a31ebacked No | 50c | 4,168$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Yes | 56c | 2,708$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.73 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 56c | 2,010$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.19 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes | 55c | 1,810$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.13 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 56c | 1,779$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.01 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 55c | 1,233$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.24 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…2525backed Yes | 55c | 999.88$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 44c | 933.76$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.85 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 790.5$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.03 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 54c | 666.67$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.67 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed Yes | 55c | 578.18$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…9e24backed No | 61c | 435.23$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 60cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 53c | 401.2$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.57 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 45c | 397.75$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.89 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…b0e6backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 55c | 342$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 51c | 341.61$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.84 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 45c | 335$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.75 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 44c | 334.42$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.15 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Yes | 55c | 309.16$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.12 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Yes | 55c | 283.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.79 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…743dbacked Yes | 56c | 254.41$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.71 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 253.94$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.23 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Yes | 56c | 241.82$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 45c | 219.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…baf6backed No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc76c…7d8bbacked Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef5…6616backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…60c5backed Yes | 55c | 193.36$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.01 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 52c | 189.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.92 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…9141backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +285%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 55c | 181.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c0…c158backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4adb…982ebacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3204…7ac1backed Yes | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…31dcbacked Yes | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Yes | 54c | 138.96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…1f24backed Yes | 55c | 136.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 55c | 129.16$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 54c | 127.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 46c | 125.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Yes | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed No | 46c | 119.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…ba8ebacked Yes | 57c | 115.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…97f5backed Yes | 56c | 114.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…1f24backed Yes | 56c | 111.39$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Yes | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes | 54c | 99.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…a497backed No | 46c | 95.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…a8e6backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 170 | 48.8%83 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1b…380ebacked Yes | 48c | 74.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Yes | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 46c | 59.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 54c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fc…47eebacked No | 54c | 55.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 46c | 54.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…a474backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 54c | 52.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383b…93c2backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…98ddbacked Yes | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +303.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed No | 45c | 47.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…9d1ebacked No | 46c | 46.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Yes | 46c | 44.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 317 | 46.1%146 W · 171 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed No | 46c | 43.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Yes | 56c | 42.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7995…210abacked No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819c…ce6fbacked Yes | 47c | 41.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 53c | 41.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed No | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0726…3d2abacked No | 46c | 38.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 46c | 38.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…7dcbbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…e52bbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f9…5778backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…5555backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.