Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea5a2e2e67b172c705e1304ac6d3e1938fad0182397b0e9df31bdd878c5bdddb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manchester United FCof Arsenal FC, Manchester United FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Manchester United FC | 65c | 47,261$30,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,646.16 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 23,736$9,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,257.14 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Arsenal FC | 39c | 15,005$5,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,852.08 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 13,390$5,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,222.1 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Manchester United FC | 62c | 8,637$5,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280.55 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Manchester United FC | 63c | 5,717$3,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.71 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Manchester United FC | 64c | 4,380$2,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.99 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Manchester United FC | 61c | 4,047$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.28 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Arsenal FC | 38c | 3,863$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ee…f7a7backed Manchester United FC | 63c | 3,538$2,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.69 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Arsenal FC | 38c | 3,487$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.89 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 3,386$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Arsenal FC | 40c | 3,377$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.55 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Manchester United FC | 54c | 2,776$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.34 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 2,338$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.37 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Arsenal FC | 36c | 2,328$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.94 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Manchester United FC | 61c | 2,067$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.05 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Manchester United FC | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…cbdabacked Manchester United FC | 63c | 1,588$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Arsenal FC | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 1,256$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.16 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arsenal FC | 20c | 1,246$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.45 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Arsenal FC | 30c | 1,232$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.19 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 1,008$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.9 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…f21ebacked Arsenal FC | 37c | 891.89$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Manchester United FC | 62c | 799.98$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.99 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Arsenal FC | 32c | 778$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.36 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6322…0c4abacked Manchester United FC | 67c | 689.51$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Arsenal FC | 20c | 558.53$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.91 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Arsenal FC | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Manchester United FC | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…a4dfbacked Arsenal FC | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Manchester United FC | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Manchester United FC | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…9ff7backed Manchester United FC | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Arsenal FC | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…21b2backed Manchester United FC | 62c | 343.6$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Manchester United FC | 61c | 340.57$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.82 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797d…fcf6backed Manchester United FC | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…ba42backed Manchester United FC | 64c | 296.88$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Arsenal FC | 32c | 292.01$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.44 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…2ca9backed Manchester United FC | 49c | 288$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.88 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf71…92aebacked Manchester United FC | 64c | 281.25$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Manchester United FC | 62c | 250.2$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.2 | 248 | 44.4%110 W · 138 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034e…f79dbacked Manchester United FC | 64c | 228.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba4…6a8cbacked Arsenal FC | 16c | 226.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 210.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Arsenal FC | 37c | 203.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ac…02afbacked Arsenal FC | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…71c4backed Arsenal FC | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Manchester United FC | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Manchester United FC | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x096b…8eafbacked Manchester United FC | 62c | 175$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…3984backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 166.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67ea…6d0fbacked Manchester United FC | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Manchester United FC | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…1cefbacked Manchester United FC | 64c | 156.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c9…748cbacked Manchester United FC | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 152.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Manchester United FC | 66c | 151.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…97f5backed Manchester United FC | 63c | 136.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…c6c3backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 118.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…5b71backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…b42bbacked Arsenal FC | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Arsenal FC | 32c | 105$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Manchester United FC | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…3f17backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee69…0c70backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Manchester United FC | 61c | 82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…4acebacked Manchester United FC | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Manchester United FC | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Manchester United FC | 64c | 79.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Arsenal FC | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Manchester United FC | 63c | 78.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Manchester United FC | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Arsenal FC | 26c | 77.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 76.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…2731backed Arsenal FC | 37c | 75.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 74.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bf…231fbacked Arsenal FC | 37c | 70.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d2…15afbacked Arsenal FC | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…eed9backed Manchester United FC | 77c | 67.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…8689backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 61.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Manchester United FC | 80c | 61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Arsenal FC | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…e1febacked Arsenal FC | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Arsenal FC | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Arsenal FC | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9afa…3a31backed Manchester United FC | 68c | 52.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +178.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Arsenal FC | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 170 | 48.8%83 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x058a…ed5cbacked Arsenal FC | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae77…fa72backed Manchester United FC | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.