TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x797d…fcf6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$355
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+37%+$177.53
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$234
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$133.33
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$244
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+203%+$369.52
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$247.33
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+122.2%+$354.44
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$419.84
Nets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$112.37
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$56.13
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+56.3%+$101.25
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$106.1
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$61.55
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$113.16
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$33
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Bucks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+53.8%+$113.25
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$71.53
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
AHL: Iowa Wild vs. Grand Rapids Griffinsbacked Grand Rapids Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$407.61
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+37%+$117.57
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$214
Stars vs. Bluesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$111.19
Capitals vs. Canucksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Sharks vs. Lightningbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$247
Devils vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Bruins vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$355.35
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+138.1%+$417.05
Stars vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+96.1%+$125.86
Kraken vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+63.9%+$204.59
Kraken vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+39%+$84.23
Golden Knights vs. Bluesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$75.98
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+72.4%+$115.86
Kings vs. Starsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$73
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.7
Como 1907 vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$125
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+72.4%+$101.38
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$232
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+400%+$2,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.