NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f0e3adcf4247edaaf3c6d0d1fd9fe3dbd142a0801069eab397d5b4cc26a0f78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Wild, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $334,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $359,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff7a…4c4cbacked Wild | 51c | 67,701$34,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,320.94 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Golden Knights | 49c | 30,000$14,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,800 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Golden Knights | 17c | 15,107$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.03 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Wild | 50c | 14,173$7,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,035.07 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Golden Knights | 49c | 11,585$5,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,651.77 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Golden Knights | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Golden Knights | 49c | 9,850$4,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,826.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Golden Knights | 49c | 9,140$4,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,478.6 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Golden Knights | 47c | 8,550$4,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,010.83 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Wild | 49c | 8,048$3,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,104.52 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Golden Knights | 1c | 6,969$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Wild | 50c | 6,708$3,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,353.85 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Wild | 52c | 6,346$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046.15 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Golden Knights | 0c | 6,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Golden Knights | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Wild | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wild | 49c | 5,404$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.97 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Golden Knights | 48c | 5,368$2,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.71 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Golden Knights | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Golden Knights | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Golden Knights | 50c | 4,887$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,443.5 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wild | 49c | 4,868$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.25 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Wild | 50c | 4,849$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.44 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…f290backed Golden Knights | 22c | 4,821$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Golden Knights | 0c | 4,666$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Golden Knights | 16c | 4,542$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.66 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Golden Knights | 31c | 4,347$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.16 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Golden Knights | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Golden Knights | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Wild | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Golden Knights | 49c | 3,950$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.94 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Golden Knights | 50c | 3,617$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.71 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Golden Knights | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.17 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wild | 55c | 3,243$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.01 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Golden Knights | 26c | 3,068$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.56 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wild | 80c | 3,022$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.62 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Wild | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wild | 51c | 2,766$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.22 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Golden Knights | 38c | 2,718$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.74 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Golden Knights | 26c | 2,563$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.39 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Golden Knights | 52c | 2,554$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.41 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 2,549$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.91 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Golden Knights | 51c | 2,414$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.24 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Wild | 50c | 2,280$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.22 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Golden Knights | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Wild | 50c | 2,003$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.53 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Wild | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Golden Knights | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Golden Knights | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights | 48c | 1,747$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.53 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Golden Knights | 31c | 1,700$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.31 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wild | 49c | 1,691$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.84 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Golden Knights | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.17 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Wild | 46c | 1,620$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.9 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wild | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Wild | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.99 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Wild | 50c | 1,420$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Wild | 53c | 1,362$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.02 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Golden Knights | 28c | 1,310$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.58 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Wild | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Golden Knights | 51c | 1,272$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.67 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Golden Knights | 49c | 1,200$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.98 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Golden Knights | 2c | 1,095$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Golden Knights | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Golden Knights | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Golden Knights | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Wild | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d28…4453backed Golden Knights | 51c | 996.8$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Wild | 50c | 989.36$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.87 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Golden Knights | 50c | 963$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.28 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Golden Knights | 49c | 882.29$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.32 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc760…a21abacked Golden Knights | 51c | 832$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wild | 57c | 811.66$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.32 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Wild | 70c | 800$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.78 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Golden Knights | 54c | 794$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.76 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8c6dbacked Wild | 49c | 747.18$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Golden Knights | 7c | 740.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Golden Knights | 48c | 729$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Golden Knights | 2c | 699.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Golden Knights | 51c | 696.56$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.24 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Golden Knights | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Golden Knights | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Wild | 80c | 550$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Golden Knights | 44c | 522.92$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.04 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Wild | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ac…d477backed Golden Knights | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Golden Knights | 17c | 495.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.73 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Golden Knights | 28c | 492$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.88 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Golden Knights | 28c | 440$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Golden Knights | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Wild | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Golden Knights | 23c | 398.69$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.17 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Wild | 50c | 393.21$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.04 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Golden Knights | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…ca38backed Wild | 49c | 383.29$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…b89ebacked Wild | 49c | 369.43$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Wild | 65c | 369.23$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Golden Knightsthis page
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.