TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,826
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,881

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,826 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef23…5b60backed Under46c1,542$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.4564242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over53c1,328$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.621,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under47c934.1$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.0336038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over54c919.9$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.152,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under42c613.75$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.682,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under44c443.99$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3549546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over58c369.5$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.881,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over56c350$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15438445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Under48c261$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.283658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Under48c260$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.84050%20 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Under48c245$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.64746.8%22 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over56c232.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1414844.6%66 W · 82 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed Under48c189$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.722657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over60c179.8$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9221040.5%85 W · 125 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Under48c179$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.925255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Under48c170$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.65251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Under48c163$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.244151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f41…5cb3backed Under48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under47c148$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.145560%33 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Under48c143$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.642864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Under48c142$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.162835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-24.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Under46c141$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.865474.1%40 W · 14 L+11.1wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+49%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Under44c113.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0912648.4%61 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over54c113.25$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.352,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Under47c108$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.743046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Under48c107$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.364143.9%18 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under48c107$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.363438.2%13 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-32.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x194f…81b6backed Over52c105$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.42462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Under48c104$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.922965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+38.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under48c95$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.65060%30 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Under48c88$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.245451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked Under48c87$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.763951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Under48c84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.323351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Under48c81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.884938.8%19 W · 30 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Over52c79$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.922650%13 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ec…06aabacked Over52c77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.961030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77ed…53f7backed Over53c77$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.381566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed Over52c76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.482556%14 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9f6…9cdabacked Over52c75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.741936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd104…0c60backed Over52c73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.04757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba0f…7ca5backed Over52c71$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.081963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Under48c68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.641947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb5…6a69backed Over52c68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.641560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeaa…80cdbacked Over52c68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.641338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe829…a4aabacked Over52c68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.64650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Over54c61.11$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.113354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed Under48c61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.282948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3add…e482backed Over52c59$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.321553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x888b…8f3fbacked Over52c56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.881225%3 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa029…c912backed Over52c55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.41464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Under48c53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.443455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5c…1f57backed Over52c49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.32070%14 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Over53c49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.141844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33b7…c747backed Over52c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.521643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Under48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.045955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…4028backed Over52c48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.042564%16 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…de52backed Over52c48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.041747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab2c…0ab7backed Over52c48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.041553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fe1…e560backed Over52c47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.561947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b80…8e56backed Over52c47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.561827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xedc2…e450backed Over52c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.62356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under46c44.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d19…0b39backed Over54c44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.241758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d49…c438backed Over52c44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.12966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013743.1%59 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over53c42.55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Under48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.162466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed Under46c41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.861127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6966…409bbacked Over52c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.681855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.227445.6%125 W · 149 L+1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb14…d929backed Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.23754.1%20 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6162…e856backed Over52c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.721735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2348…9d10backed Over52c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.721546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14cd…1716backed Over52c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.722352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9431…6270backed Over52c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.242157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d9…6febbacked Over52c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.241361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9874…15d7backed Over52c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.761353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd512…91eebacked Over52c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.761163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Over52c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.28757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a7…e161backed Over52c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.282060%12 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e44…3cefbacked Over52c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.82867.9%19 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+46.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4889…9b17backed Over52c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.82060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc856…0aa5backed Over52c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.322138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x749b…48d8backed Over53c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.461266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf340…6224backed Over52c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.361752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ad…2c48backed Over52c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.361973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+40.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8380…1866backed Over52c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.362544%11 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a9…f72ebacked Over52c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.88966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3517…9f8dbacked Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aae…e845backed Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb75…bc16backed Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.42152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf2…6640backed Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3be0…e4e5backed Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7773…f936backed Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07eb…4b4cbacked Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.42254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7219…fcf7backed Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.42458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e57…41f0backed Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfadc…a4e8backed Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.