NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2905a307a0d72b3a8925e195b900d095637eb987cd8815cfb0301aadd40d7bc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Under | 58c | 347.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 48c | 254$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.28 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 249$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.48 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 42c | 203.47$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.01 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 57c | 168$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Under | 57c | 167$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 43c | 115.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Under | 56c | 89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Over | 43c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 56c | 72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…9efebacked Under | 57c | 70.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Over | 43c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Over | 43c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 44c | 38.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Over | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Over | 43c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 56c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked Over | 43c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Over | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Over | 43c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 43c | 28.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Over | 43c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 42c | 23.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 67c | 17.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. Golden KnightsWild won
- Wild vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.