TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Como 1907 vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$271,703
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$276,643

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,703 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Over48c228,342$109,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118,418.831369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c80,110$41,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,25893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under51c55,000$28,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,30016045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c25,923$13,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,463.9652748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3ea…0637backed Under53c11,000$5,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,779.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c10,586$5,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,313.662,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2002227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3009150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under50c5,589$2,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,787.9816046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Under49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+42.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43a4…7170backed Over51c3,925$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.491163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under52c3,532$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.4533357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5904040%16 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5908251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under43c2,898$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25217744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2504040%16 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under52c2,423$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.6398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over53c2,044$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.9121650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Over50c1,800$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under52c1,700$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.8922947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under53c1,596$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.6938744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over50c1,379$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.4237250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over50c1,008$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.24725.5%12 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+58.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f91…40adbacked Under50c995$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.5911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick50cpaid-83.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x02e9…9a18backed Over52c960.75$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Over52c913.14$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.141145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2261…b4ebbacked Under55c900$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a4c…9b1abacked Over46c900$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c852.07$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.021,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under52c840.51$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.2259240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under52c800$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41216251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4164748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under53c800$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42410152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Over50c786$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3931330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003250%16 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31245547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3246949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30623353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Over51c588.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.63164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25014748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under11c443$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.714936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under53c420$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.625556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under53c420$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.618459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under53c420$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.612048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under48c416.7$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6912049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21228556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Under51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e3…f0adbacked Under50c370$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under53c365.75$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8531441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under51c354.54$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.696246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under53c330$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.915847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under53c330$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.916851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under53c320$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.613648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over51c302.65$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.37254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1598948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15913550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5d…bbfabacked Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba3…8cb2backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15913152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15912253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1599826.5%26 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under53c281.63$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under53c280$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.414155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under52c254$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.881947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x797d…fcf6backed Under50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under53c250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.528458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Under53c225$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.365030%15 W · 35 L-10.6wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-50.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1066145.9%28 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6da…01cebacked Under32c200$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick44cpaid-81.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10615459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under53c190$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.711550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under48c189.56$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5891043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under53c180$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.411655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under53c170$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.111154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under53c170$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.18148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under53c170$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.112453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under53c170$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.111454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under53c170$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.110952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under53c170$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.17746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under53c170$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.111953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under53c167.46$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.434535.6%16 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under53c160$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.811448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.58852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.510252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe174…f74bbacked Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.59447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under52c146.29$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.073743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9932…f309backed Under50c145$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under54c127.44$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.291822.2%4 W · 14 L-5.5wins-0.31per pick53cpaid-61.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.69445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.611551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.69252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.612754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.68550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.613650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.867948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.612350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ace…07c7backed Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c118.81$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4133144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under49c102$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9811349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.