TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b5d…bbfa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst College Football at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST2065%13 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$132.51
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Utah vs. Lightningbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$228
Penguins vs. Canucksbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$133.33
Red Wings vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+69.5%+$156.36
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$333
Panthers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$57.6
Oilers vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+104.1%+$359.08
Red Wings vs. Canadiensbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+127.3%+$231.73
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+150%+$630
AHL: Belleville Senators vs. Toronto Marliesbacked Toronto Marlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+81.8%+$10.64
AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Charlotte Checkersbacked Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.64
Wild vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+100%+$220
Jets vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$65.45
Utah vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$184.47
Sharks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Ducks vs. Rangersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+117.4%+$111.52
Red Wings vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+75.4%+$30.18
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$131.41
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+42.9%+$216.43
Hawks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+44.9%+$251.59
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$333
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$141.92
Suns vs. Netsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+35.1%+$105.41
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$177
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+69.5%+$9.03
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$400
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+194.1%+$630.88
Hawks vs. Warriorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+203%+$473.06
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+222.6%+$462.97
Timberwolves vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Suns vs. Wizardsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+25%+$81.89
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 19 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$302
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$185
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
California vs. Hawaiibacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Brute vs HyperSpirit (BO3)backed HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$9.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown last 52 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,174.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.