TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Red Wings vs. Devils

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Devilsof Red Wings, Devils
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$550,945
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$591,949

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $550,945 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,083 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef54…d1eebacked Red Wings45c65,677$29,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,411.2717749.2%87 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Red Wings44c49,066$21,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,571.171,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Red Wings46c47,051$21,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,643.4956649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Devils56c40,000$22,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,60025449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Devils56c40,000$22,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,60042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Red Wings44c22,080$9,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,715.2538748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Devils54c20,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,199.9710554.3%57 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Devils54c17,891$9,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,159.861,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x188c…c62bbacked Devils55c17,636$9,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,936.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Devils54c12,000$6,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5206055%33 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Devils54c9,200$4,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2321,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Red Wings46c7,945$3,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,654.9289547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Devils54c7,500$4,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,45051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a30…b575backed Red Wings45c7,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1501233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Red Wings46c5,300$2,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,438.1330551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Red Wings44c5,163$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,271.728749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Devils56c5,065$2,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,231.411,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Red Wings14c5,005$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.562951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Devils56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Devils54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,300955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Devils55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.9119451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Red Wings39c4,702$1,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,827.2110565.7%69 W · 36 L+15.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Devils55c4,505$2,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.111,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Devils55c4,500$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,02530447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x189c…fea3backed Devils63c3,937$2,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+45.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Devils56c3,596$2,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.6657453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Devils56c3,580$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.3629651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Red Wings20c3,566$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.1427143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Devils68c3,025$2,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.081,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Red Wings44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32075251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Devils69c2,965$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.849949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Devils55c2,835$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.7315954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Devils55c2,801$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.5469550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Devils54c2,750$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26532251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802b…36f7backed Devils56c2,420$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Red Wings46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27e3…bbd0backed Red Wings45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90040%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf795…ea82backed Devils54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.981250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Devils55c1,869$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.5162249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27c9…2278backed Devils56c1,861$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.711752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b9…7874backed Devils56c1,837$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.29580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+48.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Devils54c1,815$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.322,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Devils78c1,588$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.2195049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Devils55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6757338.4%28 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d3b…b511backed Red Wings46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6901428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-52.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Red Wings45c1,350$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.524845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6743…1475backed Red Wings45c1,320$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Devils55c1,300$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58568449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6dd…32ccbacked Red Wings44c1,270$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4966…84fbbacked Devils55c1,240$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ce7…741cbacked Red Wings44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-65.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Red Wings32c1,157$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.0299638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Red Wings45c1,126$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51041248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Red Wings45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Red Wings43c1,110$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.2289249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04e0…fe67backed Red Wings45c1,100$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Devils56c1,071$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.4327150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Devils56c1,071$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.4327044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed0c…0b5fbacked Devils55c1,055$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb997…0d40backed Devils55c1,036$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Devils72c1,024$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.293,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc1a…9b49backed Red Wings44c1,023$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf68…cf61backed Devils55c1,018$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5486…e136backed Red Wings44c1,011$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ea…ed2ebacked Devils67c1,005$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.31172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28e8…fb8cbacked Devils55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Devils57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43023047.4%109 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec7…f874backed Devils56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-49.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8526…3b5dbacked Red Wings44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4404134.1%14 W · 27 L-6.2wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-26.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x73da…463bbacked Devils56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5fc…d802backed Red Wings5c999.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501915.8%3 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick9cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bb4…7ec0backed Red Wings44c999.99$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd09…0fdebacked Red Wings44c999.73$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb074…cc38backed Red Wings44c988.5$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7934…822fbacked Devils55c982.04$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe225…54aebacked Red Wings44c977.73$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Red Wings44c909.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.3920144.8%90 W · 111 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Devils56c900.3$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.4593953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf38f…bba8backed Devils57c892.98$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b14…f343backed Red Wings45c890$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.51735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c28…f8c7backed Devils56c880$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.21361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Devils55c813.96$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.286065%39 W · 21 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+99.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeca1…abc0backed Devils55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+64.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8660…8505backed Red Wings45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Devils56c798.94$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.841,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05a1…6b32backed Devils56c790$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.61457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ab6…e2debacked Devils57c787.7$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…a6a7backed Red Wings44c786.36$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Red Wings45c766.67$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34511354%61 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Devils56c753.11$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.1122946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Devils55c750$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.51,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dd4…2c2fbacked Red Wings45c750$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.51526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-44.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xad34…4386backed Devils56c714.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.291735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Red Wings44c713.1$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.691,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Devils54c699.98$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.997152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Red Wings42c696.81$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.6683652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Devils54c674$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.041,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x923d…dea6backed Red Wings45c670$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.51323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-52.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x381e…3f00backed Devils56c640$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.62560%15 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fa5…be51backed Red Wings45c633.33$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2851457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.