NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Timberwolves

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28ffb6b7990509ba2a6517d6444278a97bbf73b7c66f4426e4e8024dd7812c2d

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Timberwolvesof Hawks, Timberwolves
Resolved: Feb 10, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,812,147
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,886,458

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,812,147 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 845 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8764…604abacked Hawks	26c	434,578$111,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111,118.71	72	66.7%48 W · 24 L	+14.6wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+47%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Timberwolves	75c	110,000$83,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,000	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Hawks	25c	100,000$25,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,999.99	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d19…f2f9backed Hawks	39c	90,300$35,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,217	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b88…5cebbacked Timberwolves	61c	90,300$55,083 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,217	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Timberwolves	70c	57,142$39,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,142.58	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Hawks	31c	54,973$16,877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,876.89	196	53.6%105 W · 91 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves	73c	50,000$36,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,500	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Timberwolves	73c	50,000$36,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,400	232	57.8%134 W · 98 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves	75c	43,647$32,637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,009.65	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Timberwolves	69c	37,474$25,816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,658.21	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Timberwolves	75c	36,652$27,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,032.21	205	51.2%105 W · 100 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Hawks	29c	36,092$10,594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,593.62	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves	74c	35,520$26,306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,213.73	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Hawks	0c	35,030$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.51	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb64f…0d2abacked Timberwolves	78c	32,808$25,562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,245.81	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves	74c	32,587$24,118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,468.56	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Hawks	31c	27,869$8,723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,723.09	287	42.9%123 W · 164 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d0…a31bbacked Hawks	26c	26,800$6,868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,867.96	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x938f…f13fbacked Hawks	27c	26,500$7,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,054.96	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Timberwolves	69c	26,212$18,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,125.81	131	42.7%56 W · 75 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves	77c	24,582$18,822 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,759.7	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Hawks	26c	24,349$6,331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,330.7	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves	74c	22,432$16,583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,849.41	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Timberwolves	74c	21,791$16,202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,589.62	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Timberwolves	73c	20,000$14,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,400	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves	76c	20,000$15,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,800	964	47.8%461 W · 503 L	+35.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Hawks	26c	19,999$5,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,199.73	152	47.4%72 W · 80 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Hawks	22c	19,717$4,338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,337.76	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves	73c	17,505$12,698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,806.97	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves	74c	17,500$12,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,550	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Hawks	0c	17,104$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.51	457	3.5%16 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe6e…ddf7backed Timberwolves	69c	16,500$11,385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,115	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-4.2wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd915…1d54backed Hawks	31c	16,500$5,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,114.9	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+4.4wins	+0.15per pick	50cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves	74c	16,434$12,161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,272.83	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Timberwolves	76c	16,110$12,191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,918.6	375	57.6%216 W · 159 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves	72c	15,249$10,912 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,336.75	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Timberwolves	74c	13,653$10,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,503.09	130	63.8%83 W · 47 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Timberwolves	74c	13,514$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,513.51	72	40.3%29 W · 43 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Timberwolves	76c	12,133$9,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,933.37	158	41.1%65 W · 93 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves	74c	11,638$8,657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,981.23	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Timberwolves	73c	10,000$7,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,700	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Hawks	30c	10,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Hawks	22c	10,000$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Hawks	31c	10,000$3,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,099.94	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Hawks	15c	9,998$1,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,549.69	142	43%61 W · 81 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Timberwolves	74c	9,528$7,051 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,477.41	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Timberwolves	72c	9,417$6,825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,592.72	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Timberwolves	77c	8,862$6,839 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,022.17	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Hawks	31c	8,520$2,606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,605.92	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Timberwolves	76c	8,424$6,374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,050.33	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9963…32e4backed Hawks	26c	8,279$2,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,120.27	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+3.1wins	+0.35per pick	43cpaid	+81.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Timberwolves	74c	7,586$5,614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,972.49	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41e1…60febacked Timberwolves	69c	7,246$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,246.38	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-22%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Hawks	1c	7,182$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.66	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Timberwolves	73c	7,110$5,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,919.7	502	41.2%207 W · 295 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Hawks	27c	7,000$1,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,889.99	121	44.6%54 W · 67 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves	75c	6,785$5,113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,671.94	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Timberwolves	73c	6,000$4,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,620	187	47.1%88 W · 99 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Hawks	28c	5,981$1,675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,674.74	286	49.7%142 W · 144 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hawks	1c	5,958$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.16	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves	78c	5,667$4,420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,246.77	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79e5…9417backed Timberwolves	79c	5,411$4,265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,145.83	61	65.6%40 W · 21 L	+5.4wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8520…8e06backed Hawks	23c	5,073$1,167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,166.79	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Timberwolves	74c	5,000$3,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300	453	48.1%218 W · 235 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Hawks	27c	5,000$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,350	320	39.4%126 W · 194 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Hawks	25c	4,995$1,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,248.75	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed Timberwolves	73c	4,889$3,569 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,320.03	113	61.9%70 W · 43 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Timberwolves	69c	4,861$3,354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,506.87	403	50.1%202 W · 201 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb22a…8e6cbacked Timberwolves	69c	4,743$3,273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,470.48	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Timberwolves	66c	4,667$3,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,590.15	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Timberwolves	76c	4,555$3,462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,093.2	232	45.3%105 W · 127 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Timberwolves	68c	4,528$3,069 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,458.64	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Hawks	23c	4,501$1,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,056.77	268	42.9%115 W · 153 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c9…8174backed Hawks	31c	4,500$1,395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,395	98	51%50 W · 48 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4a…744abacked Timberwolves	75c	4,300$3,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,075	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Timberwolves	74c	4,197$3,106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,091.22	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+5.9wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Timberwolves	70c	4,189$2,932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,256.7	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks	32c	4,100$1,312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,312	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Timberwolves	78c	4,035$3,147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$887.62	293	52.6%154 W · 139 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+26%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Hawks	30c	4,006$1,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,213.88	489	44.2%216 W · 273 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Timberwolves	76c	4,000$3,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks	12c	4,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7312…92aabacked Timberwolves	62c	4,000$2,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,520	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2db…f400backed Hawks	38c	4,000$1,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,520	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Timberwolves	76c	4,000$3,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	386	49.7%192 W · 194 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Timberwolves	74c	3,960$2,930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029.6	176	53.4%94 W · 82 L	+8.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Timberwolves	79c	3,871$3,042 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$828.96	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Timberwolves	74c	3,800$2,812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$988	209	48.8%102 W · 107 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Hawks	0c	3,664$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.51	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Timberwolves	73c	3,500$2,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$945	139	54.7%76 W · 63 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed Hawks	29c	3,405$974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$973.5	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Timberwolves	78c	3,161$2,462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$699.21	385	40.3%155 W · 230 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Timberwolves	74c	3,103$2,296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$806.65	163	70.6%115 W · 48 L	+7.0wins	+0.04per pick	66cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hawks	23c	3,019$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.64	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Hawks	19c	3,006$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.24	184	38.6%71 W · 113 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Hawks	27c	2,969$801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$801.11	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Timberwolves	78c	2,913$2,273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$640.38	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb876…a86bbacked Timberwolves	74c	2,899$2,145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$753.79	143	44.8%64 W · 79 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02b6…fbbbbacked Timberwolves	75c	2,848$2,145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$703.42	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Hawks vs. Timberwolvesthis page
1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
CJ McCollum: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Hawks vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
Hawks vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Over won
Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Over won
Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Over won
Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Over won
Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Over won
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.5No won
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
Julius Randle: Points O/U 20.5No won
Naz Reid: Points O/U 12.5No won
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Timberwolves won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Hawks vs. Timberwolves

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event