NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x629f46627bb79749ad121d917fc3278fe9582c0f3082bd9301114a3d5c13ba98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 52c | 36,054$18,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,421.27 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 22,952$10,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,969.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…604abacked Over | 53c | 7,465$3,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,501.43 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 47c | 6,850$3,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,219.42 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 4,881$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.79 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 48c | 3,230$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.34 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 51c | 3,222$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.77 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 3,021$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.92 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 45c | 2,584$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.57 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 49c | 2,513$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.17 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 45c | 2,027$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.24 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 54c | 1,962$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.39 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under | 47c | 1,516$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.5 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.99 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 45c | 1,309$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.11 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 52c | 1,298$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.08 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 1,191$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.44 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 1,109$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.28 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 1,000$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.73 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 50c | 955.02$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.51 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 49c | 709.38$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.6 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 49c | 689.74$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 51c | 687$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.63 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Under | 50c | 650$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 47c | 637.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.63 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 55c | 619.31$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.69 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Under | 50c | 514$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 507.76$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.41 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 47c | 487.58$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Over | 56c | 440$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.6 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…9845backed Under | 47c | 387.23$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Over | 53c | 271.68$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.15 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeab…276fbacked Over | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 44c | 215.91$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 44c | 183.93$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.93 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 127.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 114$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 56c | 90.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Under | 45c | 77.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 74.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…d47bbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Under | 48c | 50.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 45c | 40.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 57c | 25.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Under | 50c | 24.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- CJ McCollum: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Hawks vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Hawks vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Hawks vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Over won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.