NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe600a3767f02b37f0e96f8149eb0dd60af279effa40af15bc2e3f3228fb21bc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 59c | 100,000$59,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,000 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 41c | 86,209$35,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,345.8 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 25,072$11,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,078.25 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…604abacked Over | 55c | 16,263$8,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,318.35 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 54c | 13,527$7,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,271.96 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 49c | 12,149$5,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,927.05 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 57c | 4,000$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.06 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 43c | 2,690$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.49 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 2,648$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.66 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 51c | 2,058$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.78 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under | 43c | 1,815$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.45 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 1,638$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.58 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 46c | 1,430$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.02 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 43c | 1,342$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.17 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 1,326$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.22 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 1,271$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.62 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 45c | 1,244$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.8 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 45c | 1,241$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.66 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 1,147$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.02 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 44c | 1,127$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.64 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 45c | 882.87$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.29 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 58c | 619.43$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.16 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 15c | 571.43$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 40c | 507.02$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.2 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 500$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 44c | 436$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.84 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 51c | 381.24$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.81 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 14c | 333.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Over | 53c | 290$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 44c | 206.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 205.29$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.54 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 51c | 188.67$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 12c | 175.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf19…976bbacked Under | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Under | 46c | 130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 48c | 111$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…fc12backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 45c | 99.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 58c | 95.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Under | 43c | 87.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 42c | 86.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 48c | 81.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 71c | 76.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 43c | 75.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1caf…f649backed Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 60c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 61c | 47.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 268 | 24.6%66 W · 202 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 66c | 43.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Under | 43c | 41.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 244 | 28.7%70 W · 174 L | -22.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a5…9f2cbacked Under | 47c | 33.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 42c | 33.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…5d49backed Over | 54c | 32.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 43c | 30.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Over | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 51c | 28.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa63…261fbacked Over | 54c | 27.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bde…c70cbacked Under | 47c | 26.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Over | 51c | 25.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 42c | 25.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 51c | 24.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 56c | 24.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 59c | 24.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Under | 46c | 22.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 61c | 22.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1e98backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 62c | 19.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- CJ McCollum: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Hawks vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Hawks vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Hawks vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Over won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.