NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x305d736ca1b1a1993b3bca59b1c33297c3a6b2de015e638b1ff554c83067da8e

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Hawks
Resolved: Feb 10, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $248,680
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $263,674

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,680 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb5e9…4044backed Timberwolves	61c	38,497$23,324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,172.6	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Timberwolves	52c	29,662$15,363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,299.28	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Hawks	45c	19,400$8,730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,730	72	40.3%29 W · 43 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Hawks	49c	17,875$8,703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,703.05	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Hawks	41c	17,550$7,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,195.64	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves	58c	16,582$9,697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,885.03	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Timberwolves	57c	12,557$7,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,399.51	215	49.8%107 W · 108 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Timberwolves	55c	12,159$6,688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,471.68	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hawks	48c	10,512$5,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,001.67	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Timberwolves	51c	9,803$4,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,803.93	131	42.7%56 W · 75 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks	41c	9,339$3,853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,853.01	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Timberwolves	55c	9,065$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,065.12	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves	57c	7,491$4,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,221.12	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves	55c	7,210$3,992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,218.21	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Timberwolves	57c	7,081$4,036 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,044.96	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Hawks	48c	6,294$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf61a…4d92backed Timberwolves	50c	6,200$3,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks	42c	6,080$2,554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,554.25	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Timberwolves	57c	5,330$3,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,291.9	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves	55c	4,327$2,376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,950.63	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Timberwolves	52c	4,199$2,183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,015.35	212	50.5%107 W · 105 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Timberwolves	55c	4,014$2,208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,806.45	293	52.6%154 W · 139 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+26%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves	75c	3,593$2,696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$896.98	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc607…28febacked Hawks	50c	3,200$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46b6…d3cebacked Hawks	50c	2,800$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Timberwolves	56c	2,736$1,532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,203.83	139	54.7%76 W · 63 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks	43c	2,619$1,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,127.67	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Hawks	48c	2,457$1,179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,179.45	129	50.4%65 W · 64 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4958…a146backed Hawks	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.09	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.8wins	-0.21per pick	44cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21d2…d3ebbacked Timberwolves	51c	2,041$1,041 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000.09	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves	65c	1,580$1,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$556.5	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Hawks	42c	1,551$652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.51	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Hawks	44c	1,533$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.15	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Hawks	39c	1,518$592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.84	226	43.8%99 W · 127 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Hawks	45c	1,500$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed Timberwolves	49c	999.94$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.97	198	38.9%77 W · 121 L	-13.2wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Timberwolves	58c	999.68$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.87	456	47.1%215 W · 241 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hawks	47c	877.65$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.49	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Hawks	48c	800$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Timberwolves	57c	696$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.28	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Timberwolves	75c	680.51$507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.22	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Timberwolves	58c	603$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.26	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa0…d504backed Hawks	50c	550$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Hawks	46c	519.44$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.15	137	50.4%69 W · 68 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Hawks	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves	59c	490$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.75	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Timberwolves	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	113	51.3%58 W · 55 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Hawks	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Timberwolves	52c	386.49$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.49	197	41.6%82 W · 115 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Timberwolves	59c	355.75$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.43	238	45.4%108 W · 130 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Timberwolves	59c	338.98$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.98	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hawks	43c	325$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.89	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Hawks	51c	313.73$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	217	43.8%95 W · 122 L	-9.5wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Hawks	51c	313.73$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	238	47.1%112 W · 126 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Timberwolves	55c	303.92$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.94	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Hawks	42c	283.43$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.04	243	32.9%80 W · 163 L	-22.7wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Hawks	51c	266.67$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	231	43.3%100 W · 131 L	-13.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Timberwolves	51c	259.74$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.27	249	46.6%116 W · 133 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fdf…0ef0backed Hawks	50c	206.02$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.01	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Hawks	44c	200$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Timberwolves	53c	200$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Hawks	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4949…478ebacked Timberwolves	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Hawks	15c	186.35$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.42	456	53.5%244 W · 212 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Timberwolves	60c	155.2$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.08	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Hawks	48c	150$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hawks	39c	150$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.5	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Hawks	42c	142.31$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.77	362	47.5%172 W · 190 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Hawks	42c	141.71$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.52	383	50.4%193 W · 190 L	+12.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Timberwolves	57c	133$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.19	219	37%81 W · 138 L	-15.9wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf89c…8937backed Timberwolves	51c	131.37$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.37	32	78.1%25 W · 7 L	+7.0wins	+0.22per pick	56cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves	60c	123.54$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.32	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Timberwolves	56c	121$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.83	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Hawks	50c	119.89$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	364	53%193 W · 171 L	-17.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fad…374cbacked Hawks	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	186	44.1%82 W · 104 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Hawks	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Timberwolves	57c	115.7$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.75	214	59.3%127 W · 87 L	+12.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Hawks	42c	115$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.3	410	48.3%198 W · 212 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Timberwolves	55c	108.04$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.16	1,003	51%512 W · 491 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Hawks	41c	106.12$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.04	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Hawks	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	522	40%209 W · 313 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Timberwolves	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	86	51.2%44 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Hawks	50c	99.43$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	516	51.2%264 W · 252 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Timberwolves	55c	95.2$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.41	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd84…9f62backed Hawks	49c	89.23$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.49	143	52.4%75 W · 68 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Timberwolves	56c	70$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.8	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Hawks	50c	68$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Hawks	42c	65.62$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.56	279	43%120 W · 159 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Timberwolves	55c	62.26$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.78	336	53.9%181 W · 155 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Timberwolves	61c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.4	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Timberwolves	58c	52.7$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.04	576	57.8%333 W · 243 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1750…c64fbacked Hawks	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Hawks	38c	49.73$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked Hawks	42c	47.15$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	281	40.6%114 W · 167 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce1…b62cbacked Hawks	43c	46.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Hawks	42c	46.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.53	204	48.5%99 W · 105 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b06…10a7backed Hawks	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	85	58.8%50 W · 35 L	+8.1wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+17%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d26…a6d5backed Timberwolves	56c	44.64$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.64	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Timberwolves	72c	43.02$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.02	144	55.6%80 W · 64 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Timberwolves	56c	41.27$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.16	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)this page
1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
CJ McCollum: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Hawks vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
Hawks vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
Hawks vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Over won
Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Over won
Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Over won
Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Over won
Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Over won
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.5No won
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
Julius Randle: Points O/U 20.5No won
Naz Reid: Points O/U 12.5No won
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Timberwolves won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event