TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,693
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,693 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8764…604abacked Over51c39,450$20,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,204.77266.7%48 W · 24 L+14.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under50c18,609$9,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,304.3529055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c11,548$5,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,681.99,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Under50c9,615$4,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,807.536359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Under50c5,978$2,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,978.7218747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over51c3,893$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.7560351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over51c2,941$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.1856453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under50c2,878$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.0145348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Over50c2,816$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40815450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c2,792$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.613,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c2,730$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.184,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c2,502$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.835,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over53c2,296$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.9637747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Over54c2,235$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.199952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under48c1,840$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.93,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c1,782$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.474,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under48c1,651$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.662,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under47c1,584$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.3624744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over53c1,458$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.672,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over52c1,294$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.291,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c1,143$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.072,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under47c1,129$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.611,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over53c999.99$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47040947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c843.17$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.623,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under51c721.85$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.2128147.7%134 W · 147 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Under48c714.58$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34314061.4%86 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Under47c594.43$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.213041.5%54 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Over54c480.78$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.1610641.5%44 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Over54c413.89$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.3914248.6%69 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcd…355abacked Under47c405.9$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.777536%27 W · 48 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c400.62$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.254,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over51c338.25$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.7435749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Under47c335.83$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.8421250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Under51c333.42$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0428751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Over53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14128929.4%85 W · 204 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91f3…0d57backed Over53c273.58$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.589348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee57…b2b6backed Under51c271.56$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.183330.3%10 W · 23 L-6.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-44.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over53c249.26$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1540344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under48c239.5$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2166646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over52c212$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.761,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.334959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9424946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10241052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Under47c195.74$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9223256.9%132 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under43c187.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.225,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over54c186.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.621,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over55c166.54$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.941,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c161.78$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.198,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Under50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7082440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x862d…bc9bbacked Under46c129.7$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607047.1%33 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under49c122.84$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.131,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over56c116.54$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8841947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb1d…2891backed Over50c111.07$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.541080%8 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+73.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c108$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over60c105.09$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.793,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5142551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43f9…2c69backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9941354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over51c88.24$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2450351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over52c81.35$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.452,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Under50c79.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1220949.3%103 W · 106 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over50c69.01$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.511,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Under52c65.56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0129351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over51c64.25$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6295047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under49c61.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.981,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Over55c60.2$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.249358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over54c58.48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.950648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Under52c50.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.365457.4%31 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.510069%69 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa30…c7abbacked Under53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511448.2%55 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed Under51c43.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2814643.8%64 W · 82 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over53c40.88$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.421,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under45c40.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3950841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5422backed Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba3…8cb2backed Under48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.29758.8%57 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over52c31.25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1515649.4%77 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a1…0ddcbacked Under53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+72.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under51c29.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1480653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under51c29.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7333653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa472…fc54backed Under52c27.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over54c26.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9157657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under48c24.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.691,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2151…e874backed Under53c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over52c21.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1290357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over51c21.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4545460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.859141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8d…1a96backed Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.859445.7%43 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.