NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf2bf4a331ea91f27ca417f84bc2741dbbfc25a11db3e252c95c8dacef37b777
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $382,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $385,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $382,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Timberwolves | 53c | 140,000$73,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,399.99 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Timberwolves | 51c | 104,697$53,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,369.61 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Hawks | 49c | 73,573$36,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,050.75 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Hawks | 48c | 56,861$27,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,293.05 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Hawks | 47c | 48,153$22,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,631.85 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hawks | 49c | 44,950$22,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,025.5 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 26,320$13,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,662.46 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks | 49c | 14,691$7,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,157.47 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Timberwolves | 53c | 8,836$4,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,153.02 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Hawks | 44c | 7,919$3,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.57 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Timberwolves | 51c | 6,300$3,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,087 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Hawks | 50c | 6,200$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Timberwolves | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…e243backed Hawks | 46c | 5,764$2,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,651.43 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Hawks | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Timberwolves | 54c | 4,815$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.81 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 4,468$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.07 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Hawks | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 3,831$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.61 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hawks | 47c | 3,235$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.23 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Hawks | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Hawks | 49c | 2,925$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.25 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,887$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.21 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 45c | 2,427$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,560$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.05 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Hawks | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 48c | 1,353$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.44 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hawks | 48c | 1,151$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.8 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,030$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Hawks | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Hawks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Hawks | 50c | 950.12$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.06 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 784.25$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.28 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Timberwolves | 54c | 629.63$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.63 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Hawks | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Hawks | 47c | 540$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.8 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Hawks | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 461$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…f0c4backed Hawks | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +8.8wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Timberwolves | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Hawks | 50c | 236.87$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.26 | 243 | 32.9%80 W · 163 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hawks | 47c | 229.02$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Hawks | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Hawks | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x922d…d82bbacked Hawks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Hawks | 47c | 196.11$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.17 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Hawks | 50c | 185.14$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.57 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Timberwolves | 54c | 184$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.64 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 124.53$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Hawks | 50c | 119.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Hawks | 50c | 118.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Hawks | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Hawks | 46c | 101.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed Timberwolves | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Hawks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Hawks | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Timberwolves | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Hawks | 50c | 99.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…374cbacked Hawks | 50c | 98.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 94.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…9f62backed Hawks | 49c | 86.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Hawks | 49c | 83.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Hawks | 50c | 81.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…3c77backed Hawks | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Hawks | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Timberwolves | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Hawks | 48c | 65.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Hawks | 50c | 65.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Hawks | 46c | 64.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Timberwolves | 50c | 64.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc80c…6093backed Timberwolves | 53c | 61.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Timberwolves | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Hawks | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Timberwolves | 57c | 59.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Hawks | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…5d6fbacked Hawks | 50c | 54.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 231 | 44.2%102 W · 129 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Hawks | 49c | 49.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…7066backed Hawks | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53d7…0b48backed Hawks | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Hawks | 47c | 47.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Hawks | 50c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Hawks | 47c | 40.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…36bbbacked Hawks | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Hawks | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Hawks | 50c | 38.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Timberwolves | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Hawks | 47c | 36.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…7618backed Hawks | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Hawks | 50c | 31.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Hawks | 50c | 31.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Timberwolves | 54c | 30.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Timberwolves | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked Hawks | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb774…7a01backed Hawks | 50c | 29.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- CJ McCollum: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Hawks vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Hawks vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Hawks vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Over won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.