NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x655c72d6434cdb98b54a375f32f1e370dc72ab5f90868c716ed4a66debf04609
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Red Wings, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,028,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,161,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,028,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Red Wings | 45c | 310,132$138,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171,669.22 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Canadiens | 57c | 300,000$171,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171,000 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ae…3020backed Red Wings | 45c | 110,846$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,845.56 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Red Wings | 43c | 89,001$38,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,730.69 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…058bbacked Canadiens | 56c | 54,000$30,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,239.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Canadiens | 55c | 35,000$19,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,250 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Canadiens | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Canadiens | 55c | 18,918$10,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,404.85 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Canadiens | 0c | 17,896$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Canadiens | 49c | 17,758$8,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,680.04 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Canadiens | 55c | 17,500$9,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,624.99 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…b24ebacked Canadiens | 56c | 11,000$6,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,159.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 54c | 11,000$5,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,989.98 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Canadiens | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Red Wings | 49c | 7,280$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,748.36 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Wings | 43c | 6,500$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,704.91 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Canadiens | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Red Wings | 46c | 5,602$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,037.84 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Canadiens | 56c | 5,335$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.83 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Canadiens | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Wings | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Canadiens | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Red Wings | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Canadiens | 36c | 4,921$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.08 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Canadiens | 56c | 4,581$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.58 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 43c | 4,155$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.53 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Canadiens | 55c | 3,824$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.45 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 56c | 3,672$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.32 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…d32bbacked Canadiens | 56c | 3,574$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Canadiens | 56c | 3,554$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.21 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canadiens | 54c | 3,331$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.82 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Canadiens | 53c | 3,071$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.64 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Canadiens | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.01 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Red Wings | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Red Wings | 44c | 2,808$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.28 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Red Wings | 76c | 2,668$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.37 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Canadiens | 54c | 2,636$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.16 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Red Wings | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Canadiens | 57c | 2,460$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.1 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Canadiens | 55c | 2,190$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.5 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Canadiens | 43c | 2,158$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.21 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Red Wings | 44c | 2,154$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.21 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Canadiens | 55c | 2,149$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.54 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…b34ebacked Canadiens | 1c | 2,013$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Wings | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Canadiens | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Red Wings | 44c | 2,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.96 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Canadiens | 55c | 1,910$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.5 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Wings | 59c | 1,812$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.57 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Red Wings | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens | 55c | 1,747$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.29 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Canadiens | 56c | 1,668$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.07 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Canadiens | 56c | 1,500$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.27 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Wings | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.99 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Canadiens | 54c | 1,200$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bf…f9cebacked Canadiens | 11c | 1,196$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Canadiens | 55c | 1,164$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.25 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Canadiens | 55c | 1,138$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.11 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Red Wings | 45c | 1,106$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.28 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…999fbacked Red Wings | 45c | 1,030$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Red Wings | 43c | 1,026$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.82 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Red Wings | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Canadiens | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Canadiens | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Canadiens | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…335ebacked Canadiens | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Canadiens | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Canadiens | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…ddc0backed Canadiens | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Red Wings | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Canadiens | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Red Wings | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Canadiens | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Canadiens | 55c | 949.26$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.59 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…a91cbacked Red Wings | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.09 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefd…ad71backed Red Wings | 44c | 811.81$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Red Wings | 45c | 744.44$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.44 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca0b…51c0backed Red Wings | 45c | 740$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Canadiens | 55c | 734.51$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.03 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961d…953dbacked Canadiens | 56c | 730$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7294…772ebacked Canadiens | 56c | 720$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…1cf1backed Canadiens | 56c | 716.3$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecf7…71c8backed Red Wings | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Red Wings | 44c | 681.79$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.48 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c4…3203backed Red Wings | 45c | 680$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…068ebacked Canadiens | 56c | 670$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf568…199cbacked Canadiens | 56c | 655.11$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa608…42a2backed Red Wings | 44c | 649.14$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Canadiens | 56c | 617.35$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.72 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Canadiens | 57c | 614.04$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Red Wings | 44c | 594.84$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.11 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc479…e938backed Canadiens | 6c | 593.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 117 | 13.7%16 W · 101 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Wings | 53c | 582.23$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.13 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…7f00backed Canadiens | 56c | 567.66$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Red Wings | 62c | 567.51$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.57 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Canadiens | 55c | 530.83$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.15 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Canadiens | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Canadiens | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Red Wings | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Red Wings | 45c | 483.47$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.91 | 273 | 57.5%157 W · 116 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Canadiensthis page
- Red Wings vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.