TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Senators

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Senatorsof Jets, Senators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$514,295
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$514,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $514,295 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6b4…a278backed Senators54c173,913$93,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,999.9810349.5%51 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Jets46c123,474$56,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,563.1867051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Jets46c92,131$42,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,713.2288151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Jets48c49,097$23,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,751.11,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Jets46c42,214$19,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,418.277946.8%37 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Jets46c37,891$17,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,429.6516656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Senators53c34,432$18,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,182.871,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Senators54c25,000$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,50022550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Senators51c21,207$10,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,290.4641850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Senators53c16,702$8,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,857.151,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Senators54c14,815$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,814.8150049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Senators53c11,167$5,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,282.816958%40 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Senators54c10,795$5,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,924.2151452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Senators55c10,780$5,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,85114553.1%77 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6001,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Senators54c8,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6804949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Senators51c7,855$4,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,835.532744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jets46c7,025$3,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,230.711,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Senators54c6,986$3,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,213.5693953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a82…64bcbacked Jets48c5,678$2,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,724.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Jets47c5,640$2,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,650.813553.3%72 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x360d…5e0fbacked Senators54c5,556$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.724032.5%13 W · 27 L-8.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-39.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Senators52c5,025$2,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,411.98650%43 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Jets46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3001,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Jets49c4,848$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.2161748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jets49c4,332$2,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,114.022,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Jets47c4,211$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jets21c4,023$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.0238738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Senators54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Senators54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84022150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Senators61c3,686$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.711,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Jets9c3,218$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.892114.3%3 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick8cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Jets46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38028652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Jets47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Jets46c2,500$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15084953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Senators52c2,370$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.3628251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Jets46c2,088$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.3326955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Senators52c2,060$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98947951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Senators53c1,900$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89344551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Senators54c1,897$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.683060%18 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Senators53c1,847$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.2915953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Senators53c1,797$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.131,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jets46c1,774$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.882,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jets32c1,760$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.661,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Jets46c1,740$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.461959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Senators55c1,666$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.1589249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Jets47c1,600$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75260249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Jets46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69036038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.981,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Jets46c1,200$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5527750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jets1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.117450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Senators53c1,075$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.2432251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8021…0da8backed Jets47c1,048$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+58.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Senators51c999.96$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9819645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a73…8944backed Jets47c930.55$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Senators55c900$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40563249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f6d…b4c7backed Senators52c821.51$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.32850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x019e…af1dbacked Senators54c777$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.425154.9%28 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Senators71c775.97$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.62,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Jets47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30036948%177 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Jets44c635$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.456649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fbd…863cbacked Senators53c620.48$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.63862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Senators52c614.17$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.813747.4%65 W · 72 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Jets46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27622248.2%107 W · 115 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Jets34c586.62$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4885464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Senators50c535$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.562951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Jets47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25047256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d2…80ecbacked Jets47c503.13$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.47450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Jets46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23033345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Jets47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23520951.7%108 W · 101 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Jets46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23012648.4%61 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked Jets47c500$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.513448.5%65 W · 69 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Jets47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23554349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1da…2b73backed Jets47c499.57$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Jets47c498.31$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.2135245.2%159 W · 193 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69d9…9881backed Senators55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5530657.8%177 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0a…4862backed Senators53c435.68$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.77560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Jets46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Senators53c428$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.1661953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed Jets49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Jets17c404.47$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9849045.3%222 W · 268 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb251…caa4backed Jets46c402.17$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1852744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cfa…faa4backed Senators52c380.58$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.688846.6%41 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Jets48c364.58$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17539649.5%196 W · 200 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Senators57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.885248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc57d…b3f4backed Senators53c350.57$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.77850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef34…86b2backed Jets49c350.34$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1704057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Senators48c350$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18299638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e2…ae44backed Senators53c332.02$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.05771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+41.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffba…673fbacked Senators53c326.79$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Jets16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5078443.8%343 W · 441 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1a…4f77backed Jets46c311.7$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3838645.1%174 W · 212 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Senators55c303.22$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.453053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Jets47c300$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.558947%277 W · 312 L-23.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Senators53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14175946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Senators53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14172448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Senators52c288.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.7247051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Jets47c287.43$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0945749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Senators61c285$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.171,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.