NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6aaafbf267459c316b213bb4eb326e2c41432477859c941f1851a83051a1544b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,368,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,574,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,368,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 746 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Hawks | 32c | 110,298$35,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,502.57 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Warriors | 70c | 99,153$69,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,852.83 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks | 29c | 62,673$18,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,565.78 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Warriors | 68c | 60,000$40,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,599.68 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Hawks | 29c | 57,904$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,903.73 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Warriors | 68c | 45,307$30,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,808.46 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Warriors | 3c | 39,705$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.16 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Warriors | 7c | 37,952$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.68 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Warriors | 0c | 32,660$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.6 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Warriors | 67c | 30,000$20,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,099.68 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 49c | 28,876$14,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,088.46 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 69c | 24,490$16,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,978.31 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…a442backed Hawks | 54c | 18,466$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,465.78 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Warriors | 71c | 16,806$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Warriors | 68c | 15,005$10,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,203.4 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Hawks | 32c | 15,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Warriors | 70c | 14,598$10,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,218.6 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x060e…2384backed Warriors | 69c | 14,017$9,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,671.93 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks | 61c | 13,996$8,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400.44 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Warriors | 53c | 13,969$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors | 68c | 13,397$9,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,098.85 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Hawks | 31c | 13,280$4,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,153.98 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Warriors | 1c | 12,500$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Hawks | 32c | 12,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,159.92 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors | 62c | 11,929$7,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,354.1 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 72c | 10,040$7,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,186.59 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Warriors | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9c…74b3backed Warriors | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks | 35c | 9,756$3,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,296.87 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks | 33c | 9,227$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,182.08 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Warriors | 0c | 8,796$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Warriors | 67c | 8,604$5,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,751.66 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Warriors | 1c | 8,344$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.21 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Warriors | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.99 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Warriors | 71c | 7,618$5,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,377.83 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Hawks | 32c | 7,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,760 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hawks | 33c | 6,520$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,368.61 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Warriors | 70c | 6,372$4,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,465.21 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Hawks | 33c | 6,184$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,143.5 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Warriors | 20c | 6,168$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Warriors | 67c | 5,926$3,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,970.42 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Hawks | 48c | 5,692$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.35 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Hawks | 32c | 5,555$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,777.33 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…88e1backed Warriors | 5c | 5,249$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.7 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Hawks | 50c | 5,194$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.87 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Warriors | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks | 30c | 4,965$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.62 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hawks | 33c | 4,861$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,256.78 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fda…f190backed Hawks | 32c | 4,376$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.34 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6615…6fc3backed Warriors | 1c | 4,018$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Hawks | 26c | 3,894$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.65 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Hawks | 51c | 3,646$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.56 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Hawks | 42c | 3,384$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.34 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Hawks | 30c | 3,340$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Hawks | 33c | 3,333$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.33 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hawks | 29c | 3,270$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.7 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Hawks | 30c | 3,262$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.11 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Warriors | 45c | 3,212$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.93 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Hawks | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.3 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 72c | 2,819$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Hawks | 48c | 2,709$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.48 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Warriors | 54c | 2,681$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…b37bbacked Hawks | 32c | 2,551$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.5 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Warriors | 53c | 2,546$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.63 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d26…1c15backed Warriors | 68c | 2,514$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.5 | 224 | 59.4%133 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Hawks | 48c | 2,500$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.98 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…3d34backed Hawks | 31c | 2,485$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.32 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Warriors | 51c | 2,439$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.48 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…2de3backed Warriors | 20c | 2,376$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.14 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Hawks | 29c | 2,187$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.45 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f70…123dbacked Hawks | 22c | 2,180$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.98 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Warriors | 68c | 2,162$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…c549backed Hawks | 33c | 2,121$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.21 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc127…66e9backed Warriors | 68c | 2,121$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.42 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…1574backed Warriors | 10c | 2,103$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Hawks | 31c | 2,018$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.42 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Hawks | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Warriors | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 420 | 0.7%3 W · 417 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Warriors | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Warriors | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Hawks | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks | 46c | 2,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.99 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42f7…5b3ebacked Hawks | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.92 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…6d10backed Hawks | 30c | 1,876$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.35 | 184 | 38%70 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Warriors | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Warriors | 27c | 1,830$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.73 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Warriors | 41c | 1,829$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 173 | 31.8%55 W · 118 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Hawks | 33c | 1,818$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.18 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Warriors | 48c | 1,818$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.64 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Warriors | 77c | 1,800$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Warriors | 25c | 1,747$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.6 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Hawks | 31c | 1,716$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.59 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Hawks | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed Hawks | 30c | 1,665$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.37 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Hawks | 26c | 1,640$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.54 | 479 | 49.7%238 W · 241 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Hawks | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Warriors | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…6323backed Warriors | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 19.8%20 W · 81 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…7af8backed Hawks | 30c | 1,497$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Warriors | 35c | 1,494$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.9 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Warriorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Hawks won
- Hawks vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Warriors: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.