TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Warriors (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Warriors, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,888
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,450

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,888 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors52c92,817$48,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,264.982,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Hawks48c55,200$26,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,70489050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Hawks48c30,000$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,60048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks45c9,655$4,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,309.83,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Warriors54c6,851$3,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,730.669,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Hawks47c6,721$3,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,561.2650653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92c8…933fbacked Hawks48c4,438$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Warriors51c3,535$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.9392753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Warriors53c2,730$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.974748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Hawks48c2,629$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.0858347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Warriors52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Warriors54c2,204$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19024051.3%123 W · 117 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Warriors53c2,192$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.531,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd56d…bd7dbacked Warriors55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1008647.7%41 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks46c1,887$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.096,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f64…098ebacked Hawks48c1,829$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.171747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Warriors52c1,825$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.9851350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Hawks48c1,631$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.2516254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks45c1,406$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.284,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Warriors52c1,364$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.542,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Warriors51c1,188$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.7871547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Warriors53c1,109$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58847651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Warriors55c1,064$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.021,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Warriors51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51049938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Warriors63c899$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.4191050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Warriors51c836.4$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.562,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks44c741.2$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.818,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Hawks46c594.03$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.7851146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Hawks48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.837640.8%31 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Warriors53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26551651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Warriors53c471$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6328842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Hawks48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.520651%105 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Hawks48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15618446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Hawks48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1569557.9%55 W · 40 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43b3…74cfbacked Warriors53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1594339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x91f3…0d57backed Warriors51c284.31$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1459348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Hawks48c218.02$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.3724147.7%115 W · 126 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Hawks48c203.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.659141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Hawks47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10695548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Warriors53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Warriors56c179.74$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6678652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Hawks48c145.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8325347%119 W · 134 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Hawks43c130$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.140035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Hawks48c104.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1547349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Hawks48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5266645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Warriors53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5337357.4%214 W · 159 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Hawks48c99.36$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.752,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44bd…8b0ebacked Warriors53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Warriors53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9501…a052backed Warriors53c93.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506144.3%27 W · 34 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bea…82fcbacked Warriors53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Warriors57c70.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Warriors52c69.51$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0776250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Hawks49c69.1$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2448451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9532…fba3backed Warriors30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-36.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Warriors53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Warriors52c55.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6923250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d90…cf08backed Hawks48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0819940.7%81 W · 118 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Hawks48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0835844.1%158 W · 200 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Warriors51c50.14$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5787453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Hawks48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6718347.5%87 W · 96 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb706…c2adbacked Hawks48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6720641.7%86 W · 120 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Hawks48c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2315440.3%62 W · 92 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x909b…6a0dbacked Warriors52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.82147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72cf…09bbbacked Warriors53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.22934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-39.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7802…d5b4backed Warriors53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.210758.9%63 W · 44 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Hawks46c38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5217744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Hawks48c35.64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5350648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Hawks47c34.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2521357.7%123 W · 90 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7fb…b665backed Hawks48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.614156.7%80 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Hawks48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.624442.6%104 W · 140 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Warriors51c29.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.193849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3da3…c75fbacked Warriors51c29.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.95034%17 W · 33 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4049backed Warriors53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524253.3%129 W · 113 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Warriors52c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.561,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Hawks47c27.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7622247.3%105 W · 117 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Warriors51c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.223,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40a6…a17ebacked Hawks50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1012148.8%59 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbd…6ffebacked Hawks50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109042.2%38 W · 52 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Warriors53c19.23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1944844.2%198 W · 250 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Warriors56c18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0837949.3%187 W · 192 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.