NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46bcef6d9bd40eb0987b2ecbad8afe65afbf02b96361c059b5a79c74bb9c1938
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Warriors, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $810,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $815,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $810,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Warriors | 53c | 538,663$283,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283,855.88 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Hawks | 47c | 204,765$96,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,573.07 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Hawks | 48c | 200,394$95,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,934.69 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 53c | 158,532$83,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,999.4 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Hawks | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,000 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 48c | 52,661$25,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,267.47 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Hawks | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,200 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Hawks | 52c | 39,431$20,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,926.81 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks | 47c | 33,396$15,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,699.88 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 47c | 32,547$15,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,281.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Hawks | 48c | 20,800$9,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,816 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Hawks | 52c | 13,000$6,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawks | 47c | 11,088$5,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,876.64 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Hawks | 47c | 6,300$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,339 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Hawks | 47c | 5,611$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,973.83 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 50c | 5,334$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.93 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Hawks | 48c | 5,035$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.42 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 54c | 5,023$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.87 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Hawks | 47c | 4,500$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.22 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…3ad0backed Hawks | 52c | 4,473$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Hawks | 48c | 3,774$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.08 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors | 50c | 3,472$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.55 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Warriors | 48c | 2,337$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.74 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks | 48c | 2,319$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.36 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Hawks | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Hawks | 54c | 1,849$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.03 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Hawks | 53c | 1,529$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.71 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Hawks | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.36 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Warriors | 43c | 1,270$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.37 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hawks | 48c | 1,248$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.78 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawks | 48c | 1,242$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.84 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Hawks | 47c | 1,067$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.47 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Hawks | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Hawks | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Hawks | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Hawks | 52c | 989.38$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.9 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Hawks | 52c | 973.08$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.08 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Hawks | 47c | 900$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Warriors | 42c | 833$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.93 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Hawks | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Hawks | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Hawks | 48c | 630$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.4 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Hawks | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Hawks | 53c | 569.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.67 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors | 53c | 541.26$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.87 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hawks | 63c | 501.12$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.17 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Hawks | 48c | 460.4$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.41 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Warriors | 2c | 428.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Hawks | 48c | 416.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.33 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 47c | 415$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.95 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…fbc2backed Hawks | 52c | 400.67$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.32 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Hawks | 47c | 386$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.58 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Hawks | 53c | 342$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.74 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Warriors | 62c | 339.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.79 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Hawks | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Hawks | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Hawks | 51c | 262.83$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.53 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Hawks | 47c | 261.7$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.7 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Hawks | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 47c | 222.66$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb248…3652backed Hawks | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Hawks | 47c | 211.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Warriors | 49c | 204.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed Warriors | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Hawks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Hawks | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Hawks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Warriors | 53c | 178.84$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Warriors | 52c | 175.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Hawks | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Warriors | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Hawks | 48c | 133.4$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Hawks | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Hawks | 52c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Hawks | 52c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Warriors | 52c | 127.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3a…e5d4backed Hawks | 53c | 118.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Hawks | 47c | 112.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Hawks | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Hawks | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks | 53c | 99.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…5d26backed Hawks | 52c | 95.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Hawks | 48c | 92.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Warriors | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Hawks | 52c | 87.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hawks | 48c | 83.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Hawks | 48c | 81.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Hawks | 53c | 81.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Warriors | 47c | 81.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Hawks | 48c | 78.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hawks | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Hawks | 47c | 72.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Hawks | 53c | 64.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Hawks | 53c | 64.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Hawks | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Hawks | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Hawks | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Hawks | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Hawks | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -11.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Hawks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Hawks won
- Hawks vs. WarriorsHawks won
- Hawks vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Warriors: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.