NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe32d997a81d6822aff932cbfae637a238b1783597e60da57834fac07806fd374
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 11,259$5,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,264.41 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Under | 51c | 9,436$4,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,633.44 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Over | 3c | 6,666$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 6,377$3,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034.87 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Over | 1c | 5,434$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 5,075$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 49c | 3,445$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 3,254$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.95 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 13c | 2,741$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.6 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 2,073$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.98 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 55c | 1,672$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.14 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 1,668$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.59 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 49c | 1,372$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.28 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 52c | 1,145$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.23 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…933fbacked Over | 51c | 1,006$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 50c | 868.6$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.3 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1428…017cbacked Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 49c | 582$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.64 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Over | 49c | 555.55$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.22 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3915…b03ebacked Under | 58c | 384.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.59 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 374.86$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.74 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 323$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 44c | 310.48$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.33 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 51c | 252$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.48 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 51c | 238.55$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.11 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 217.74$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.66 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 163.49$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.37 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 42c | 150.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 105.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 48c | 94.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 49c | 83.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 37c | 50.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 52c | 48.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…45f0backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 50c | 24.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 52c | 22.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…50acbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 52c | 19.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…4abfbacked Under | 54c | 18.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed Under | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Hawks won
- Hawks vs. WarriorsHawks won
- Hawks vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Warriors: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.