NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b1baa4b1b238804b448c052bf58565273ec1fb4526e4208c92181461bb1e8b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Warriors, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $986,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $991,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $986,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Warriors | 51c | 612,416$310,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310,521.93 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Hawks | 49c | 424,846$208,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216,671.47 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 49c | 324,238$158,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158,684.71 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Hawks | 51c | 250,000$127,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,500 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Hawks | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks | 51c | 30,889$15,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,281.89 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 50c | 27,088$13,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,462.04 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Hawks | 50c | 20,487$10,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,243.6 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Hawks | 50c | 19,875$9,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,937.61 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Hawks | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Hawks | 57c | 14,330$8,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,162 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawks | 50c | 10,998$5,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,489.02 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Hawks | 51c | 10,000$5,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900.83 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks | 52c | 9,399$4,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.3 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Warriors | 43c | 7,255$3,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.45 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 40c | 5,433$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.78 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Hawks | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Hawks | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.78 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 43c | 3,599$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.52 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hawks | 51c | 2,549$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.21 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Warriors | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Hawks | 51c | 1,800$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Hawks | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Hawks | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Hawks | 51c | 750$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Warriors | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Warriors | 2c | 665.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Hawks | 77c | 651.45$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.85 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Hawks | 51c | 647.06$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.06 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Warriors | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Hawks | 51c | 500$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 48c | 497.57$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.83 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75da…fc93backed Hawks | 52c | 461.54$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Hawks | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Hawks | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb248…3652backed Hawks | 52c | 380.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.99 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Hawks | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Hawks | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Hawks | 51c | 271.98$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.76 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Hawks | 51c | 240.2$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.7 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Hawks | 51c | 239.37$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.37 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…8626backed Hawks | 48c | 207.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.45 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Hawks | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Warriors | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Hawks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…c3cbbacked Warriors | 52c | 192.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Hawks | 52c | 176.04$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Hawks | 51c | 160$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x650a…e30fbacked Hawks | 51c | 148.94$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Hawks | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Hawks | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c3…be5abacked Hawks | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Hawks | 52c | 121.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6da…6f5dbacked Warriors | 41c | 110.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Hawks | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…989abacked Hawks | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Hawks | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Warriors | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05a…bf53backed Hawks | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…e731backed Warriors | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Hawks | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Hawks | 50c | 95.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Hawks | 52c | 90.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Hawks | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Hawks | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Hawks | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Hawks | 51c | 84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Hawks | 51c | 84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Hawks | 51c | 84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Hawks | 56c | 83.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hawks | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Hawks | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Hawks | 51c | 75.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…1d14backed Hawks | 51c | 74.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Warriors | 31c | 74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Hawks | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Hawks | 51c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Hawks | 51c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Warriors | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Hawks | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Hawks | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Hawks | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Hawks | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Hawks | 48c | 53.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Hawks | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…119dbacked Hawks | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Hawks | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Warriors | 46c | 46.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…51d1backed Hawks | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors | 51c | 42.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Hawks | 51c | 41.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Hawks | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Hawks | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Hawks | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…9c15backed Hawks | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Hawks | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Hawks | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Hawks | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Hawks | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Hawks | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Hawks won
- Hawks vs. WarriorsHawks won
- Hawks vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Warriors: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.