NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e40c48d1eed9a880985930a4b542d7fe01fa3b83440b110c11d9c1c91727601
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,043,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,234,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,043,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Nuggets | 47c | 287,386$136,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151,003.66 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Nuggets | 45c | 225,199$101,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,147.98 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec3…b76dbacked Mavericks | 53c | 194,977$103,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,338.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 47c | 183,749$86,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,085.94 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Mavericks | 56c | 136,705$76,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,170.95 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Mavericks | 51c | 116,873$59,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,605.31 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks | 50c | 94,617$47,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,504.42 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Nuggets | 48c | 88,717$42,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,132.83 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Nuggets | 49c | 78,296$38,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,640.95 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 48c | 77,253$36,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,262.17 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Nuggets | 79c | 75,000$59,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,644.99 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Mavericks | 54c | 73,908$40,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,003.69 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mavericks | 17c | 59,534$9,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,906.66 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Mavericks | 28c | 56,010$15,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,761.04 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Mavericks | 52c | 55,769$29,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,000 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 53c | 51,016$26,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,786.48 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 19c | 46,580$9,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,045.95 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…0313backed Mavericks | 60c | 41,639$24,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,879.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Mavericks | 53c | 39,812$20,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,920.96 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Mavericks | 52c | 30,568$15,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,752.72 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb28d…83e4backed Mavericks | 52c | 30,000$15,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,700 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Mavericks | 51c | 28,962$14,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,770.64 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Mavericks | 4c | 26,579$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.17 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Nuggets | 49c | 23,317$11,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,006.47 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Mavericks | 52c | 22,572$11,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,801.24 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mavericks | 4c | 22,187$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.33 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Nuggets | 45c | 21,676$9,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,996.68 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Mavericks | 52c | 21,120$10,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,988.39 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Nuggets | 47c | 20,852$9,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,038.38 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Mavericks | 53c | 20,768$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.99 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Mavericks | 51c | 20,000$10,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,249.93 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Mavericks | 52c | 19,334$10,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,053.68 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Mavericks | 54c | 18,888$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.52 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Mavericks | 56c | 17,829$9,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,983.98 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Nuggets | 51c | 17,099$8,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,415.42 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Mavericks | 55c | 16,528$9,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,104.98 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 52c | 16,114$8,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,378.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed Mavericks | 53c | 15,991$8,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,475 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Mavericks | 53c | 15,941$8,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500.62 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Nuggets | 48c | 15,000$7,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,750 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mavericks | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Mavericks | 55c | 14,334$7,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,858.76 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 58c | 14,157$8,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,984.63 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Mavericks | 54c | 13,800$7,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,406 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 76c | 13,539$10,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,311.18 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Nuggets | 61c | 13,447$8,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,215.35 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Nuggets | 46c | 13,144$6,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,097.54 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Mavericks | 54c | 13,017$7,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,080.8 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0973…e67bbacked Mavericks | 52c | 11,800$6,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,135.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Nuggets | 48c | 11,438$5,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,947.5 | 38 | 84.2%32 W · 6 L | +10.8wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…fd52backed Mavericks | 2c | 10,993$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.94 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Mavericks | 30c | 10,555$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.94 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Nuggets | 48c | 10,523$5,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,429.22 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Nuggets | 47c | 10,000$4,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,330 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…a86bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 9,596$4,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,798.04 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Nuggets | 45c | 9,348$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,097.82 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Nuggets | 65c | 9,182$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,182.35 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Mavericks | 50c | 9,178$4,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,589 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Mavericks | 1c | 9,076$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.25 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Nuggets | 45c | 8,992$4,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,905.57 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mavericks | 12c | 8,430$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.27 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Mavericks | 52c | 8,247$4,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,288.3 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 8,093$3,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,165.53 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…c108backed Mavericks | 55c | 8,033$4,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,417.91 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Mavericks | 12c | 8,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…b37bbacked Mavericks | 53c | 7,794$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100.4 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…a442backed Nuggets | 72c | 7,697$5,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.4 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…2f9bbacked Mavericks | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Nuggets | 49c | 7,310$3,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,754.77 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 53c | 7,194$3,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,793.03 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks | 50c | 7,064$3,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,531.77 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Mavericks | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.99 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…5a2dbacked Nuggets | 48c | 6,959$3,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,597.04 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Nuggets | 80c | 6,800$5,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.93 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Nuggets | 44c | 6,500$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,609.99 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mavericks | 52c | 6,469$3,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,389.22 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Mavericks | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.98 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Mavericks | 52c | 5,885$3,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,072 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Nuggets | 61c | 5,870$3,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,296.93 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6973…6db6backed Nuggets | 49c | 5,774$2,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.74 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3680…71d7backed Nuggets | 50c | 5,600$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Nuggets | 49c | 5,555$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.04 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…26debacked Nuggets | 62c | 5,532$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.49 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Mavericks | 46c | 5,292$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.16 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Mavericks | 54c | 5,263$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,842 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Nuggets | 45c | 5,147$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,822.31 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets | 44c | 5,050$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9b…6611backed Nuggets | 45c | 5,007$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.67 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Mavericks | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Mavericks | 12c | 5,000$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.86 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Mavericks | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Nuggets | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.99 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Mavericks | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.98 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d26…1c15backed Nuggets | 51c | 4,908$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404.75 | 224 | 59.4%133 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Nuggets | 44c | 4,618$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.88 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Nuggets | 62c | 4,609$2,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.72 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Mavericks | 52c | 4,575$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.42 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Mavericks | 52c | 4,226$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.52 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Mavericks | 52c | 4,200$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mavericks | 54c | 4,091$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.64 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Mavericksthis page
- Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.