TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$212,788
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$215,557

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,788 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over51c67,144$33,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,224.9420055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under51c30,000$15,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,30040446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb0…d8b6backed Over50c25,853$12,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,048.94158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c13,866$6,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,851.589,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under52c10,541$5,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,446.5119754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,90029748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under49c6,770$3,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,317.324045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfda1…6253backed Over54c6,500$3,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,990475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc2b…0a52backed Under46c6,500$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,99030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under49c6,118$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,99833447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under49c5,314$2,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,603.6752460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over52c4,840$2,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,344.92,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Over51c3,904$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.6141649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over50c3,641$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,824.783,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over47c3,293$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,758.193,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over53c2,313$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.021,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Under49c2,020$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.835450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011242%47 W · 65 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under48c1,810$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.591,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under49c1,782$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.0948347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Under58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00050347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Under51c1,470$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.751753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Over50c1,454$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72716254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c1,438$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.016,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under48c1,269$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.1258347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under51c873.47$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.471,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over53c861.3$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.882,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c785$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.54,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e4d…4c9dbacked Over51c709.33$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.333056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over51c690.63$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.262,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over46c646.94$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.324,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29467252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c537.38$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.812,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over52c533$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.54139%16 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over52c420$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.61,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over53c418$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4628537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…d438backed Over49c403.67$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.671457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1969850%49 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under50c352.63$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.522,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c333$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.158,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c317.42$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.713,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c314$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.422,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over49c252.77$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7688845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over49c224.97$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4984150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Over52c192.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5714742.2%62 W · 85 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under56c187$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.472,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x348f…a206backed Over55c179.68$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.685848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba4d…a31ebacked Over50c126$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc76e…caa5backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5011545.2%52 W · 63 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4963555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4543246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020847.1%98 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x922e…7d04backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f89…f3eabacked Over51c97.06$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.564454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over49c80.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.211,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b4b…14e2backed Under56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023547.7%112 W · 123 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Under49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.316036.3%58 W · 102 L-15.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Over50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3535844.1%158 W · 200 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under52c68.91$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under50c55.82$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.873,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47ba…a503backed Under54c55.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016942.6%72 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2574547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9050…0a7abacked Under52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518354.1%99 W · 84 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under53c46.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.742,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c48…7d6fbacked Over50c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016546.1%76 W · 89 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under47c34.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.262,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under52c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.141,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7081…2d9cbacked Over57c32.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2510857.4%62 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x181c…7671backed Over49c31.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.441968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1485…f4b2backed Over47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.912650%13 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Over43c31.66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0616036.3%58 W · 102 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Under51c31.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1339736.3%144 W · 253 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x571c…0bb5backed Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.617058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.971245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa614…7d4cbacked Over54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.82951.7%15 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159957.6%57 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.487950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29bd…80c9backed Over47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.918649.5%92 W · 94 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Under51c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7218339.3%72 W · 111 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.