TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$236,203
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$236,687

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,203 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf42…d698backed Under49c158,040$77,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,439.6717031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over51c100,987$51,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,493.571,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Over51c46,496$23,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,782.814856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over51c11,408$5,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,590.194,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under49c9,551$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,679.924045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c4,045$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,946.539,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under46c3,941$1,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,812.952460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c3,779$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,821.654,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under52c2,281$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.573,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over52c2,036$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.343,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Under48c2,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over53c1,534$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.9714742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Over12c1,041$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.0839018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over51c910$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.92,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under42c630.06$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.131,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over52c550$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26491050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5099…7d87backed Under2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10405%2 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over49c485.79$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.454351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95d0…04d6backed Over73c457.99$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.661471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under49c400$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.222,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over53c377$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.472,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over47c371.72$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.662,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under52c354$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.482,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over49c320.12$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2828537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…005fbacked Over71c273$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.172680.8%21 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over58c259.16$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7663745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under36c244.33$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1417243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e36…6ce1backed Under50c234$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1173060%18 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c225.81$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.728,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under47c219.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.422138%84 W · 137 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over70c217.14$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.22,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c203.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.125,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over49c193.59$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8488845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under12c169$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.971,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6c…fe22backed Under53c156.84$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.157454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07bd…5d79backed Over42c150$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.22437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over50c140.82$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.413,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf11e…eb4fbacked Over53c110.41$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522454.2%13 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+61.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under48c106$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8824946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd482…b402backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506634.8%23 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Under22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2250347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08b6…7db6backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4612062.5%75 W · 45 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0412151.2%62 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1516261.7%100 W · 62 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Over51c93.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5116658.4%97 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under46c92$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.321,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ac…64e1backed Over52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.925151%26 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under52c69.27$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.141,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47ba…a503backed Under31c65.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016942.6%72 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dee…d2bbbacked Over70c65.45$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over41c61.52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0183039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9549…b936backed Over53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.624452.5%128 W · 116 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49b6…6fd5backed Over53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.67959.5%47 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7422…e383backed Over53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.65653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.839736.3%144 W · 253 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fe0…323bbacked Over45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.54045%18 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c47.04$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.522,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Over45c42.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4716036.3%58 W · 102 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd96…2924backed Over53c41.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7617656.3%99 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under50c40.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.223445.7%107 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under64c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.652052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under48c39.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8259141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2212052.5%63 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db9…846cbacked Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0410953.2%58 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…74b7backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.042759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x609e…83bfbacked Over42c34.24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee33…9a55backed Over67c32.84$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.843265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5007…119dbacked Under49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.652718.5%5 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-61.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over54c28.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.241556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over51c27.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.611,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Under48c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9624645.9%113 W · 133 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed Over51c26.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.88243.9%36 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5d…b99abacked Over51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.255657.1%32 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-14.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc212…18b9backed Over52c23.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.088737.9%33 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x877a…7de2backed Over57c22.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.811154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7081…2d9cbacked Under57c21.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1610857.4%62 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x130c…782cbacked Over49c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7114420.1%29 W · 115 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under54c20.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.892,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Over53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.437253.5%199 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f45…709abacked Over52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.69242.4%39 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.