TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf11e…eb4f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+61.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+89%+$52
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$314
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+317.1%+$684.24
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+455.6%+$328
Nets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+109.4%+$209
Jazz vs. Thunderbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20.09
Magic vs. Netsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+182.1%+$20.03
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$19.75
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+630.7%+$75.68
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22.6
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+244.8%+$66.01
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11
All 24 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UTSA Roadrunners vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Spread: Tulane Green Wave (-1.5)backed Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Spread: William & Mary Tribe (-13.5)backed North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Spread: Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens (-2.5)backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Spread: Wright State Raiders (-5.5)backed Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+117.4%+$54
Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-10.5)backed Detroit Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Spread: BYU Cougars (-12.5)backed BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)backed California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-12.5)backed George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Iona Gaels vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
East Carolina Pirates vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 156.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Furman Paladins vs. Samford Bulldogsbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Charlotte 49ers: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
Spread: Richmond Spiders (-7.5)backed Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Western Michigan Broncosbacked Western Michigan Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Florida Gators vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Colorado State Rams vs. Fresno State Bulldogsbacked Fresno State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+170.3%+$126
Spread: Norfolk State Spartans (-5.5)backed Norfolk State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Spread: North Carolina Central Eagles (-2.5)backed Morgan State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Spread: UCF Knights (-2.5)backed UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Spread: Quinnipiac Bobcats (-5.5)backed Quinnipiac Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24
Spread: Marist Red Foxes (-11.5)backed Marist Red Foxes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$36.4
All 23 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Akamai Technologies (AKAM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Analog Devices (ADI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Labcorp Holdings (LH) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.65
Will Applied Materials Inc (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Expedia Group (EXPE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Tripadvisor (TRIP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+488.2%+$83
Will HubSpot (HUBS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Hilton Worldwide (HLT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Kraft Heinz (KHC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+525%+$84
Will Datadog Inc (DDOG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$45.99
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Oilers vs. Predatorsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Panthers vs. Sabresbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$58.12
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+185.7%+$260
Islanders vs. Wildbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+127.3%+$56
Blackhawks vs. Predatorsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34
Sharks vs. Kingsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+203%+$42.64
Bruins vs. Krakenbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Kraken vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-51.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$17.64
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$62.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+300%+$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Paris FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$46.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.