Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats: O/U 142.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf847acb82691fa7e213ffebeb6b8ebc2e6f1ec4ae23a235eb46e391d0ad982de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $721,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $872,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $721,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 49c | 557,899$273,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284,559.14 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 51c | 267,625$136,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136,491.09 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 51c | 115,412$58,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,860.27 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 2,968$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.69 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 47c | 2,172$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.35 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 54c | 1,397$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 53c | 882.28$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.37 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 56c | 607.14$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 54c | 370$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 52c | 356.41$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.33 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 324.68$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.58 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 53c | 257.53$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.49 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Under | 55c | 253.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 52c | 251.43$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.74 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…f0ccbacked Under | 53c | 168.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.12 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…eb4fbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…989abacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 52c | 86.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…1d14backed Under | 53c | 84.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 52c | 83.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Under | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…8ff5backed Under | 53c | 68.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Under | 53c | 60.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Under | 54c | 54.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Under | 54c | 53.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Under | 53c | 51.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 61c | 45.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…268cbacked Under | 54c | 42.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 42.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Under | 52c | 39.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 38.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…04a9backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed Under | 51c | 34.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d1…663fbacked Under | 53c | 30.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3d…1321backed Under | 52c | 28.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 53c | 25.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Over | 46c | 22.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d8…2a94backed Under | 51c | 20.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Under | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats: O/U 142.5this page
- Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Quinnipiac BobcatsSaint Peter's Peacocks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.