TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Saint Peter's Peacocksof Saint Peter's Peacocks, Quinnipiac Bobcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,286
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,229

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,286 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d27…e64abacked Quinnipiac Bobcats58c2,775$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60060%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Saint Peter's Peacocks55c2,371$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.323,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats78c1,500$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1705152.9%27 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Saint Peter's Peacocks42c1,477$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.72,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Saint Peter's Peacocks33c1,209$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.561,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Quinnipiac Bobcats76c900$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68481453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks24c864.53$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.2312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Quinnipiac Bobcats48c841.54$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.811,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks41c727.62$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.784,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Saint Peter's Peacocks24c460.6$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.252,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Quinnipiac Bobcats50c388.01$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8738343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Quinnipiac Bobcats50c372.63$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.0673549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Quinnipiac Bobcats60c304.03$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.9748051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks33c297.45$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1157335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Saint Peter's Peacocks24c269.66$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.111,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Quinnipiac Bobcats44c196.62$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.822,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats35c194$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.191,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Quinnipiac Bobcats75c178.79$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.532,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Quinnipiac Bobcats39c164$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.863,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Quinnipiac Bobcats73c150$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9345644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Quinnipiac Bobcats48c149.38$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.062,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats49c97.39$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.841,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats74c90.08$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.664,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Saint Peter's Peacocks43c57.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.834,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79d1…68b3backed Quinnipiac Bobcats20c53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.62814.3%4 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Saint Peter's Peacocks70c50.71$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2164322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Quinnipiac Bobcats39c37.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.421,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x602a…6b4cbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats51c29.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+37.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Saint Peter's Peacocks64c28.58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2994036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d6d…aeb9backed Saint Peter's Peacocks50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125642.9%24 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ab…361bbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats65c23.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159821.4%21 W · 77 L-17.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-55.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Quinnipiac Bobcats54c22.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.383,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6460…84efbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.34153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70fa…07f3backed Saint Peter's Peacocks56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.92450%12 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Quinnipiac Bobcats80c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.942,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a7…c0debacked Quinnipiac Bobcats74c14.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114553.3%24 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.