TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x10a7…c0de

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT4553.3%24 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.81
Stanford Cardinal vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked Stanford Cardinal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.88
Stanford Cardinal vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.55
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.8
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.77
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.91
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Kansas State Wildcatsbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$98.69
BYU Cougars vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.54
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+53.8%+$6.41
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+32%+$7.49
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+130.3%+$15.31
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. UCF Knightsbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+135.8%+$17.93
Ohio Bobcats vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Rider Broncsbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+39.6%+$8.31
LIU Sharks vs. Wagner Seahawksbacked LIU Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.49
Austin Peay Governors vs. Queens (NC) Royalsbacked Austin Peay Governors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+75.4%+$9.05
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+334%+$80.17
Vermont Catamounts vs. Maine Black Bearsbacked Vermont Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Butler Bulldogs vs. Providence Friarsbacked Butler Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Baylor Bears vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+32.6%+$6.1
Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajunsbacked Georgia Southern Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Chicago State Cougarsbacked Mercyhurst Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. UCF Knightsbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3666.7%24 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51%+$37.27
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$191.92
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.9%+$8.46
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.2%+$76.94
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+57.1%+$44.63
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will the Steelers win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+34.4%+$61.83
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$27.68
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.07
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5.33
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+25%+$3.75
Browns vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.48
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$3.75
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$24.85
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.69
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Jaguars vs. Titansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.72
Saints vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+42.9%+$5.57
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST2166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+60.5%+$9.07
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Georgia Tech vs. BYUbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+167%+$25.04
UNLV Runnin' vs. Ohiobacked UNLV Runnin' · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
North Texas vs. Tulanebacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
UNLV vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+35.1%+$6.78
UCLA vs. USCbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+35.1%+$10.54
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.18
Utah vs. Kansasbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$15.29
Hawaii vs. UNLVbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+75.4%+$10.08
Western Michigan vs. Northern Illinoisbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+40.8%+$10.21
Georgia Tech vs. NC Statebacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$12
South Carolina vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.58
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas Statebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+52.8%+$15.08
Louisville vs. Virginia Techbacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
Arizona State vs. Iowa Statebacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Tulane vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Jacksonville State vs. Middle Tennesseebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
James Madison vs. Texas Statebacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
UTEP vs. Kennesaw Statebacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+25%+$3.93
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick73cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.22
Nuggets vs. Wizardsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.13
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Wizards vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Pistons vs. Kingsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Pelicans vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9.86
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+31.7%+$19.38
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+44.9%+$4.57
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.28
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+165.3%+$33.05
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will the U.S. strike Fordow nuclear facility before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
US military action against Iran before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Trump spend 7+ days golfing in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+44.8%+$6.71
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+252.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.4
10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$26.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+68.1%+$35.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Marty Supreme" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+65.3%+$11.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+25%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $110K in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.