NFL · resolved market

Browns vs. Bears

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x622e7c2e3e246364be3d4790364d91fa1cffdbacf988a06509ed708b6d1f28d0

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bearsof Browns, Bears
Resolved: Dec 14, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,684,675
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,772,795

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,684,675 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 411 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb744…5210backed Browns	25c	840,139$210,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210,498.3	170	41.8%71 W · 99 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Bears	78c	693,319$539,189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154,129.78	79	51.9%41 W · 38 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Browns	23c	124,297$28,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,216.68	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Browns	24c	80,005$18,801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,801.17	165	45.5%75 W · 90 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e6…025bbacked Bears	78c	70,056$54,303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,753.18	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	59cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Browns	24c	54,431$13,063 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,063.39	79	39.2%31 W · 48 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x564f…1795backed Browns	23c	51,761$11,887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,887.39	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.23per pick	41cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Bears	76c	50,000$38,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,000	93	59.1%55 W · 38 L	+10.2wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Bears	77c	45,117$34,740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,376.91	191	52.9%101 W · 90 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Bears	75c	43,000$32,422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,578	66	45.5%30 W · 36 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bears	75c	39,153$29,304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,849.31	1,196	49.9%597 W · 599 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Bears	77c	36,619$28,197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,422.48	64	59.4%38 W · 26 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Bears	76c	28,504$21,663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,841.07	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Browns	24c	27,771$6,663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,663.46	533	48.4%258 W · 275 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Bears	77c	25,974$20,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,974.03	186	50%93 W · 93 L	+9.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bears	75c	25,000$18,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,250	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Browns	24c	25,000$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,999.97	143	42%60 W · 83 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Browns	23c	21,739$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,999.97	135	60%81 W · 54 L	+14.7wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Browns	23c	20,541$4,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,628.89	865	47.9%414 W · 451 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Bears	76c	20,102$15,277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,824.39	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	-3.9wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00be…5acabacked Bears	76c	16,448$12,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,947.52	46	50%23 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Browns	26c	16,000$4,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,159.98	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+3.3wins	+0.20per pick	45cpaid	+45.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Bears	77c	15,000$11,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,449.98	239	37.7%90 W · 149 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a00…2296backed Bears	77c	12,987$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,987.01	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Browns	23c	10,000$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	240	56.7%136 W · 104 L	+19.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Browns	5c	7,439$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.08	684	46.1%315 W · 369 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Browns	24c	6,837$1,641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,640.94	318	54.7%174 W · 144 L	+16.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Bears	76c	6,543$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,543.12	64	59.4%38 W · 26 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c03…d894backed Bears	76c	5,791$4,401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,389.79	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	76cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2af5…ea99backed Bears	77c	5,326$4,106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,220.04	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Bears	76c	5,263$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,263.04	96	57.3%55 W · 41 L	+6.5wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb433…7705backed Browns	4c	5,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	15cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Bears	76c	4,704$3,592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,112.47	136	41.9%57 W · 79 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Bears	76c	4,697$3,570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,127.37	115	44.3%51 W · 64 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f2…702cbacked Browns	18c	4,534$795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$795.43	93	59.1%55 W · 38 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Bears	76c	4,000$3,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$970	65	50.8%33 W · 32 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4124…8af2backed Bears	77c	4,000$3,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Bears	74c	3,600$2,676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$924	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Browns	13c	3,500$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	101	42.6%43 W · 58 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Browns	23c	3,410$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.29	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-27%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a4…75c1backed Bears	77c	3,378$2,601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$776.9	186	58.1%108 W · 78 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9210…a5f0backed Bears	76c	3,289$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$789.47	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2953…5344backed Bears	76c	3,136$2,383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$752.64	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	65cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bears	76c	2,999$2,279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$719.76	473	48.4%229 W · 244 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Bears	75c	2,628$1,984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$644.67	142	58.5%83 W · 59 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd42c…bc52backed Bears	78c	2,564$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564.1	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe212…d5f4backed Bears	77c	2,523$1,942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$580.22	68	50%34 W · 34 L	-6.1wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-15%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Browns	23c	2,500$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575	192	40.1%77 W · 115 L	-16.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64e7…fc5bbacked Bears	76c	2,500$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.21per pick	50cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed Browns	13c	2,427$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.34	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+3.1wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Browns	24c	2,282$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.21	162	54.9%89 W · 73 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Browns	23c	2,173$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.79	101	56.4%57 W · 44 L	+7.0wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa63c…27a4backed Bears	76c	2,150$1,634 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.91	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7f6…4959backed Browns	25c	2,117$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.18	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.6wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf165…2194backed Browns	8c	2,101$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-52%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Bears	74c	2,014$1,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$523.51	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Browns	23c	2,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Browns	23c	1,974$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2135…f305backed Browns	16c	1,765$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	92	38%35 W · 57 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Browns	22c	1,750$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.42	392	42.6%167 W · 225 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Bears	76c	1,718$1,306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.32	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Browns	23c	1,642$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.65	134	49.3%66 W · 68 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x383d…a9f2backed Bears	76c	1,580$1,201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$379.27	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Browns	23c	1,500$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345	75	30.7%23 W · 52 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Browns	27c	1,481$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.52	63	33.3%21 W · 42 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaceb…6f8ebacked Bears	77c	1,299$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.7	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-2.6wins	-0.15per pick	56cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Browns	24c	1,250$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Browns	1c	1,221$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.21	431	1.6%7 W · 424 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-82.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Bears	76c	1,200$908 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292	144	43.8%63 W · 81 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca51…ca40backed Bears	75c	1,187$896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.51	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	66cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb4…48e3backed Browns	23c	1,143$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.96	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+44.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Bears	76c	1,127$854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.43	285	56.5%161 W · 124 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Bears	77c	1,100$847 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253	112	54.5%61 W · 51 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Browns	16c	1,093$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.5	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	32cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x856f…e1d7backed Bears	77c	1,090$839 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.63	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Bears	74c	1,000$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	195	51.3%100 W · 95 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed Browns	24c	1,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bears	76c	1,000$760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	394	47.7%188 W · 206 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Browns	24c	1,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	224	46.4%104 W · 120 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf6…f622backed Bears	77c	1,000$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.6wins	+0.21per pick	45cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Browns	15c	974.39$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.16	200	26%52 W · 148 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Browns	23c	869.57$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3061…607ebacked Bears	76c	868.42$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.42	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	67cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87ce…7180backed Browns	25c	856$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Bears	76c	819.4$623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.7	240	54.6%131 W · 109 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Browns	22c	794.37$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.76	145	32.4%47 W · 98 L	+8.5wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+77.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Bears	77c	782.14$602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.89	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0b8…565dbacked Bears	78c	771.76$602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.76	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x930b…c8bcbacked Bears	76c	738.04$561 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.13	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.2wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+114.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0fdb…0ccabacked Bears	76c	693.16$527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.36	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	63cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8070…55c7backed Bears	76c	685.53$521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.53	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+2.6wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+125.3%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x0483…483bbacked Bears	77c	650.15$501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.53	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.5wins	+0.27per pick	50cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Browns	6c	648.42$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.91	736	51.2%377 W · 359 L	+25.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Bears	78c	641.03$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.03	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Browns	24c	625.04$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.01	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Bears	77c	600$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Browns	24c	600$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	121	33.9%41 W · 80 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Browns	2c	586.08$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.94	148	6.8%10 W · 138 L	+6.7wins	+0.05per pick	2cpaid	+296.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Bears	77c	573.09$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.81	112	37.5%42 W · 70 L	-10.8wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Browns	17c	550$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	105	37.1%39 W · 66 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Browns vs. Bears

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event