NFL · resolved market
Spread: Bears (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0409d8fd39d08b80d1def49c05716f3c1f97464634bcf795d522520fd12ee07b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bearsof Bears, Browns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $429,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $441,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $429,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Browns | 51c | 114,614$57,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,953.72 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bears | 49c | 78,500$38,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,034.96 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Bears | 49c | 65,000$31,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,150 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Browns | 51c | 59,000$30,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,089.98 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Browns | 51c | 40,400$20,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,603.99 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Bears | 49c | 32,501$15,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,575.27 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Browns | 52c | 20,000$10,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,300 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Bears | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Bears | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bears | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bears | 48c | 20,000$9,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,349.99 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…1795backed Browns | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.95 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Browns | 51c | 19,449$9,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,918.99 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Browns | 50c | 14,900$7,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,450 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Browns | 51c | 14,700$7,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,497 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bears | 49c | 14,436$7,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,388.54 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Bears | 48c | 10,416$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.32 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Browns | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Bears | 48c | 9,245$4,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,807.4 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bears | 48c | 8,931$4,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,677.17 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Browns | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Browns | 52c | 5,987$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.46 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Browns | 51c | 5,853$2,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982.98 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Bears | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bears | 68c | 4,943$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.6 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Browns | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Bears | 47c | 4,777$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,532 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Bears | 49c | 4,041$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.82 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bears | 50c | 4,040$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.12 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Bears | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Bears | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.96 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bears | 68c | 3,118$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.65 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Bears | 49c | 3,081$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.16 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Bears | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Bears | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Browns | 51c | 2,736$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Browns | 50c | 2,569$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.62 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Browns | 50c | 2,140$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.23 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Bears | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…5f30backed Browns | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Browns | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Browns | 51c | 1,706$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.2 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Bears | 49c | 1,647$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.94 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Browns | 50c | 1,562$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bears | 62c | 1,419$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.91 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed Browns | 31c | 1,400$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Browns | 36c | 1,219$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.47 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Bears | 68c | 1,200$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bears | 48c | 1,145$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.4 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Bears | 48c | 1,139$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Browns | 51c | 1,068$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.25 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Bears | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.32 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Browns | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Browns | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Browns | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Bears | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Browns | 50c | 876.03$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.7 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Bears | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Browns | 52c | 771.36$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.15 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Bears | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Browns | 52c | 637.88$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Bears | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…fe30backed Bears | 49c | 590.82$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.32 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Browns | 52c | 580$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.2 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Browns | 32c | 550$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Bears | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Bears | 52c | 505.77$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.77 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Bears | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Bears | 48c | 416$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.32 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Bears | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Browns | 51c | 393$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.43 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…110bbacked Bears | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bears | 69c | 315$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.45 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Browns | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…f286backed Bears | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Bears | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Browns | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3327…11debacked Browns | 53c | 275.47$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…f6a0backed Bears | 53c | 257.9$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Bears | 48c | 249.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Browns | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Bears | 48c | 228.06$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.59 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Bears | 50c | 225$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2d…25febacked Browns | 51c | 215.73$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Browns | 51c | 205$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Bears | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Bears | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Browns | 51c | 203.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Browns | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Browns | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Bears | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Browns | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Browns | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebb…017abacked Bears | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Browns | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Bears | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bears | 48c | 166$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Bears | 49c | 162.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Bears | 48c | 155.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.66 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Bears | 48c | 155$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.65 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bears (-7.5)this page
- Browns vs. BearsBears won
- Browns vs. Bears: 1H MoneylineBears won
- Browns vs. Bears: O/U 38.5Under won
- Browns vs. Bears: O/U 39.5Under won
- Browns vs. Bears: O/U 40.5Under won
- Spread: Bears (-18.5)Bears won
- Spread: Bears (-8.5)Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.