Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stanford Cardinal vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 136.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bcd7158d08fe282529c7c10e5d12bedbe33d7dee01806fe7132ce28296cdb07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 1,599$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 494.66$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.53 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 5c | 486$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed Under | 5c | 450$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 48c | 387.52$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.51 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 54c | 362.48$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 260.55$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.15 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 12c | 210.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under | 11c | 149.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Under | 9c | 131$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…7e77backed Under | 57c | 119.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 47c | 118.24$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Over | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 98.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 75c | 98.47$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 53c | 88.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 33c | 82.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 70.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…80c0backed Over | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 61c | 66.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 49c | 65.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Under | 53c | 63.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b4…f95fbacked Under | 40c | 61.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10a7…c0debacked Under | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 51.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 52c | 48.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 53c | 47.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 53c | 47.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 53c | 47.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 53c | 47.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 53c | 47.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…7bc7backed Under | 54c | 43.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 47c | 40.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 44c | 34.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 53c | 31.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e13…b909backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Under | 53c | 29.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed Under | 53c | 29.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 60c | 29.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Under | 53c | 27.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 53c | 27.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Over | 50c | 25.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Under | 52c | 23.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 71c | 15.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stanford Cardinal vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 136.5this page
- Spread: Stanford Cardinal (-1.5)West Virginia Mountaineers won
- Spread: West Virginia Mountaineers (-1.5)West Virginia Mountaineers won
- Spread: West Virginia Mountaineers (-2.5)West Virginia Mountaineers won
- Stanford Cardinal vs. West Virginia MountaineersWest Virginia Mountaineers won
- Stanford Cardinal vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 135.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.