Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: West Virginia Mountaineers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf63e77cfc2ede65ffe724ae3b866a799e1162817495bd06293893a96680e64c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- West Virginia Mountaineersof West Virginia Mountaineers, Stanford Cardinal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 52c | 12,000$6,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,782.7 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stanford Cardinal | 48c | 5,030$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.35 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Stanford Cardinal | 48c | 3,602$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.57 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba12…6a47backed Stanford Cardinal | 48c | 3,335$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 52c | 2,755$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stanford Cardinal | 49c | 2,222$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.78 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 52c | 2,030$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.27 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stanford Cardinal | 48c | 1,763$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.03 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Stanford Cardinal | 48c | 389.46$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.94 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Stanford Cardinal | 48c | 312.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.16 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Stanford Cardinal | 48c | 302.75$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Stanford Cardinal | 48c | 121.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 49c | 110.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Stanford Cardinal | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Stanford Cardinal | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Stanford Cardinal | 48c | 56.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Stanford Cardinal | 48c | 46.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Stanford Cardinal | 48c | 43.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Stanford Cardinal | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 49c | 23.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: West Virginia Mountaineers (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Stanford Cardinal (-1.5)West Virginia Mountaineers won
- Spread: West Virginia Mountaineers (-2.5)West Virginia Mountaineers won
- Stanford Cardinal vs. West Virginia MountaineersWest Virginia Mountaineers won
- Stanford Cardinal vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 135.5Over won
- Stanford Cardinal vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 136.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.