Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Stanford Cardinal (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc940b41b0b0e1ba20c98a6602c38a2fc88845de2f0e94e91ceb1406cb5376860
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- West Virginia Mountaineersof Stanford Cardinal, West Virginia Mountaineers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 55c | 1,008$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.13 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stanford Cardinal | 45c | 300.39$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.86 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 55c | 291.9$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.36 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Stanford Cardinal | 46c | 268.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.74 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Stanford Cardinal | 45c | 176.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.63 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 46c | 132.54$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Stanford Cardinal | 38c | 108.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stanford Cardinal | 46c | 98.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 79c | 97.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 56c | 94.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Stanford Cardinal | 43c | 92.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Stanford Cardinal | 45c | 81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +6.2wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Stanford Cardinal | 46c | 72.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Stanford Cardinal | 43c | 70.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Stanford Cardinal | 46c | 63.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Stanford Cardinal | 46c | 61.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Stanford Cardinal | 47c | 58.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Stanford Cardinal | 47c | 58.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Stanford Cardinal | 46c | 56.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 50c | 55.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 54c | 54.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stanford Cardinal | 37c | 48.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Stanford Cardinal | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Stanford Cardinal | 30c | 38.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 61c | 35.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…5ab3backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 57c | 30.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stanford Cardinal | 44c | 22.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 52c | 21.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stanford Cardinal (-1.5)this page
- Spread: West Virginia Mountaineers (-1.5)West Virginia Mountaineers won
- Spread: West Virginia Mountaineers (-2.5)West Virginia Mountaineers won
- Stanford Cardinal vs. West Virginia MountaineersWest Virginia Mountaineers won
- Stanford Cardinal vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 135.5Over won
- Stanford Cardinal vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 136.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.