NFL · resolved market

Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x959899cd8459386dd0b0e46d13ce7d6b693f864641643c8629ef18762ef88a32

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 5, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,538,126
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,191,515

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,538,126 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 562 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes	7c	132,211$9,667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,666.87	87	47.1%41 W · 46 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Yes	4c	119,427$4,971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,971	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Yes	7c	87,253$5,899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,899.36	300	43.7%131 W · 169 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…ba65backed Yes	3c	84,314$2,820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,820.49	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa86c…6ec8backed Yes	5c	75,119$3,544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,544.32	50	32%16 W · 34 L	+5.5wins	+0.11per pick	21cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes	5c	70,731$3,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,496.43	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Yes	5c	62,467$2,855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,854.55	170	41.8%71 W · 99 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Yes	14c	52,070$7,266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,266.47	239	37.7%90 W · 149 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9af…497cbacked Yes	4c	44,159$1,612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,612.03	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	4c	43,485$1,658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,657.91	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	4c	42,243$1,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,519.99	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x064d…a0e4backed Yes	4c	39,667$1,719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,718.58	23	13%3 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfc4…95a3backed Yes	7c	37,260$2,636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,636.31	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+98%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c7…bb17backed Yes	14c	35,479$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ec…9ff6backed Yes	4c	30,114$1,295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,294.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Yes	4c	28,003$1,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,153.94	111	45.9%51 W · 60 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e44…dfd8backed Yes	5c	27,578$1,268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,268.47	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes	5c	27,357$1,268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,268.1	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d6…d648backed Yes	7c	27,288$1,808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,807.73	85	36.5%31 W · 54 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8134…da0abacked Yes	4c	26,839$1,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,154.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes	11c	26,541$2,876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,876.07	45	4.4%2 W · 43 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+74%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes	10c	25,759$2,702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,701.52	176	9.1%16 W · 160 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x741b…0468backed Yes	6c	25,687$1,621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,620.88	23	13%3 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+156.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x118a…4a46backed Yes	6c	25,340$1,571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,570.77	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5fe…e320backed Yes	13c	25,000$3,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,250	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.19per pick	34cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes	5c	24,967$1,336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,336.33	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a41…33e2backed Yes	5c	23,141$1,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,041.35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71a5…c3eabacked Yes	4c	22,551$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-7.7wins	-0.23per pick	52cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes	6c	22,492$1,312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,312.45	28	3.6%1 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6919…5effbacked Yes	3c	22,335$739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$738.87	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Yes	3c	21,618$695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$694.89	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x62b5…7514backed Yes	12c	21,023$2,523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,522.71	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe4d9…cd44backed Yes	4c	20,000$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes	6c	19,819$1,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,125.29	207	55.1%114 W · 93 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ca…e8d0backed Yes	4c	18,088$659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.27	71	31%22 W · 49 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-36%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72a3…05d2backed Yes	4c	17,962$772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$772.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	7c	17,865$1,204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,203.87	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+170.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Yes	4c	16,953$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.98	134	35.8%48 W · 86 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	9c	16,662$1,515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,515.26	224	34.4%77 W · 147 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes	1c	16,260$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.02	94	42.6%40 W · 54 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	4c	15,243$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625.11	67	4.5%3 W · 64 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-71.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	13c	14,845$1,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,909.84	477	38.6%184 W · 293 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	14,307$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.43	230	24.3%56 W · 174 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	4c	13,699$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.91	212	27.8%59 W · 153 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ec…5d8ebacked Yes	11c	12,871$1,416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,415.8	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	65cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c56…269fbacked Yes	11c	12,735$1,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,339.53	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	-7.2wins	-0.15per pick	50cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3c01…d612backed Yes	9c	12,155$1,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,125.86	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc86d…c53fbacked Yes	5c	11,951$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.15per pick	39cpaid	+15%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes	7c	11,505$776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775.84	162	26.5%43 W · 119 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes	13c	11,347$1,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,475.13	143	49%70 W · 73 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf495…7c12backed Yes	4c	11,192$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes	5c	11,115$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566.49	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Yes	11c	11,000$1,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,160	307	43.6%134 W · 173 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bed…6497backed Yes	12c	10,730$1,259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,258.92	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x858d…1047backed Yes	7c	10,647$771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770.97	25	16%4 W · 21 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…c7f9backed Yes	2c	10,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.99	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd4e…2f7ebacked Yes	11c	9,745$1,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,072	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes	5c	9,332$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.56	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+66.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea7f…85d5backed Yes	3c	9,224$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	6c	8,926$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.92	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes	4c	8,741$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.79	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.11per pick	20cpaid	-82.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes	4c	8,447$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.85	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e95…d070backed Yes	12c	8,374$1,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,003.84	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1334…3c35backed Yes	6c	8,187$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5681…e113backed Yes	4c	8,073$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.12	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	36cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Yes	6c	8,040$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.39	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked Yes	3c	7,777$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.07	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+2.6wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes	10c	7,500$731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730.52	75	26.7%20 W · 55 L	-12.9wins	-0.17per pick	44cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed Yes	5c	7,496$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.07	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9768…1b82backed Yes	5c	7,027$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	20cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12a7…399bbacked Yes	4c	7,000$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.07	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-65%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe87f…9d9bbacked Yes	7c	7,000$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.46	50	28%14 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8458…17eabacked Yes	6c	6,930$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-60%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95d6…af5abacked Yes	8c	6,790$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543.18	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb48e…a144backed Yes	4c	6,671$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.17	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes	4c	6,616$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.1	66	7.6%5 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-81%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Yes	15c	6,566$965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$964.5	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb21f…a49dbacked Yes	6c	6,547$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes	11c	6,500$715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$715	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+110.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	6,464$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.9	567	9.9%56 W · 511 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63e2…5579backed Yes	8c	6,337$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.12	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	13cpaid	+57.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a7…e661backed Yes	6c	6,333$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.31	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6359…de88backed Yes	12c	6,295$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734.69	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Yes	4c	6,278$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.55	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-67.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c48…9d28backed Yes	4c	6,135$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.06	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Yes	6c	6,070$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.27	66	39.4%26 W · 40 L	-4.5wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88be…841cbacked Yes	2c	6,070$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.99	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes	11c	6,043$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$654.75	28	3.6%1 W · 27 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+175.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfc…7f80backed Yes	8c	6,034$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.85	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc498…24e3backed Yes	5c	6,000$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c68…d09cbacked Yes	4c	5,903$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.4	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	+7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes	4c	5,828$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.04	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes	4c	5,805$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.86	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes	6c	5,674$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.79	80	35%28 W · 52 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9dc…4d2fbacked Yes	6c	5,571$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.17	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e64…28a9backed Yes	6c	5,522$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.87	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b80…657fbacked Yes	8c	5,408$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.35	157	46.5%73 W · 84 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x600b…42dcbacked Yes	6c	5,298$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.43	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+160.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes	3c	5,211$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.18	358	48.6%174 W · 184 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd62…802cbacked Yes	4c	5,025$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?this page
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes won
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event