NFL · resolved market

Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d395b8dea9dd429fbce85f8b8cbd5aa85ec8a2e8980755756be3eec03da5b9a

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 14, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,590,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,766,033

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,590,300 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 902 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1496…a429backed Yes	15c	114,670$17,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,200.5	274	54.7%150 W · 124 L	+13.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e2a…07bfbacked Yes	17c	113,914$19,114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,113.51	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Yes	13c	110,348$14,866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,865.91	100	61%61 W · 39 L	+7.3wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	0c	104,482$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.5	284	36.3%103 W · 181 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67f9…d241backed Yes	6c	90,178$5,259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,258.9	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-42%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes	2c	77,184$1,815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,815.21	162	26.5%43 W · 119 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Yes	6c	74,916$4,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,494.98	76	57.9%44 W · 32 L	+6.3wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+134.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes	13c	69,242$9,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,186.32	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-51%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c7…bb17backed Yes	7c	67,418$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a35…2fadbacked Yes	9c	65,000$5,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,850	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb3…270cbacked Yes	9c	49,018$4,443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,442.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Yes	6c	46,491$2,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,780.29	134	35.8%48 W · 86 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Yes	9c	44,311$3,896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,895.87	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ac1…45dbbacked Yes	9c	42,941$3,872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,872.41	77	54.5%42 W · 35 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…48a2backed Yes	10c	41,076$4,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,169.23	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes	10c	34,102$3,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,330.36	176	9.1%16 W · 160 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a13…4593backed Yes	15c	33,900$5,069 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,069.47	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Yes	9c	33,860$3,106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,106.13	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-5.8wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes	13c	30,000$4,048 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,047.92	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf4…8860backed Yes	2c	24,464$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	-7.5wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes	7c	24,126$1,689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,688.82	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	13c	23,933$3,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,011.64	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	11c	22,698$2,397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,397.09	224	34.4%77 W · 147 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x858d…1047backed Yes	10c	21,994$2,204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,203.86	25	16%4 W · 21 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde13…c84abacked Yes	2c	21,784$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.74	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7302…4557backed Yes	8c	20,538$1,565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,564.95	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3981…9b0fbacked Yes	2c	20,000$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.44	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	17cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1a8…0bfcbacked Yes	10c	19,883$1,988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,988.29	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	17cpaid	+89.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes	8c	19,328$1,468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,468.36	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	9c	19,119$1,762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,762.38	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+170.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	8c	17,712$1,505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,504.87	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	2c	17,050$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.84	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5776…b9c4backed Yes	9c	16,660$1,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66c…f291backed Yes	6c	16,498$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.87	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02fc…2c31backed Yes	9c	16,410$1,477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,476.86	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+2.5wins	+0.21per pick	38cpaid	+44.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2d6…d648backed Yes	8c	15,491$1,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,221.81	85	36.5%31 W · 54 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes	12c	15,473$1,795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,795.07	57	24.6%14 W · 43 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d6…3eeebacked Yes	13c	14,965$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	11c	14,768$1,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,590.13	477	38.6%184 W · 293 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes	10c	14,693$1,453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,452.97	45	4.4%2 W · 43 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+74%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Yes	4c	14,373$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.33	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes	10c	13,667$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,350.48	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1334…3c35backed Yes	8c	12,500$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes	1c	12,283$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.33	73	4.1%3 W · 70 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c91…9af7backed Yes	13c	12,060$1,565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,564.67	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Yes	17c	11,940$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Yes	9c	11,389$979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$978.9	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-3.2wins	-0.13per pick	29cpaid	-72.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x600b…42dcbacked Yes	10c	11,179$1,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,137.52	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+160.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ef3…c555backed Yes	7c	11,000$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa68f…37e2backed Yes	16c	10,201$1,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,632.17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc701…920ebacked Yes	9c	10,057$925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$925.11	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+89%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes	13c	10,001$1,292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,291.99	80	35%28 W · 52 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d7c…b69ebacked Yes	14c	10,000$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f11…5a95backed Yes	10c	10,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ee6…6887backed Yes	11c	10,000$1,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,090	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-75.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x064d…a0e4backed Yes	1c	9,722$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.38	23	13%3 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f68…1a2dbacked Yes	11c	9,091$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes	8c	8,778$731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$731.42	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes	10c	8,562$856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$856.16	28	3.6%1 W · 27 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+175.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea29…43e3backed Yes	2c	8,463$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.42	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49f1…9348backed Yes	2c	8,291$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes	6c	8,041$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.44	143	51%73 W · 70 L	+8.4wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57ed…3877backed Yes	13c	8,038$1,045 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,044.89	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa447…cc98backed Yes	16c	8,000$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89a1…4739backed Yes	13c	7,848$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6141…ded2backed Yes	13c	7,769$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ca…e8d0backed Yes	10c	7,300$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695.59	71	31%22 W · 49 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-36%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1804…337bbacked Yes	15c	7,299$1,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,094.87	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes	9c	7,227$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633.84	125	50.4%63 W · 62 L	+8.4wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x49f1…b129backed Yes	14c	7,134$971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970.91	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9faf…778cbacked Yes	14c	7,074$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3da…c244backed Yes	2c	6,794$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Yes	13c	6,580$835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$834.64	177	41.8%74 W · 103 L	-10.8wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa982…1861backed Yes	16c	6,494$1,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,071.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x867c…893abacked Yes	2c	6,389$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.84	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x892b…5ffabacked Yes	17c	6,301$1,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,044.24	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeac3…8a6cbacked Yes	16c	6,250$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad9…62bcbacked Yes	8c	6,206$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.44	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe64…fc61backed Yes	15c	6,077$891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$891	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f19…34debacked Yes	14c	6,063$849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$848.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08b3…3050backed Yes	17c	6,035$1,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,022.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes	8c	6,000$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.99	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa86c…6ec8backed Yes	9c	5,682$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.84	50	32%16 W · 34 L	+5.5wins	+0.11per pick	21cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x63e2…5579backed Yes	9c	5,582$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.15	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	13cpaid	+57.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f6…d059backed Yes	9c	5,556$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb014…b3fabacked Yes	10c	5,550$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+184.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33af…675ebacked Yes	4c	5,405$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.57	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Yes	10c	5,245$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.01	307	43.6%134 W · 173 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c68…d09cbacked Yes	2c	5,244$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.17	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	+7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12a7…399bbacked Yes	7c	5,028$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.98	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-65%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Yes	10c	5,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	25cpaid	+56%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75a5…b36dbacked Yes	10c	5,000$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.34	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	+576.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Yes	8c	5,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	62	64.5%40 W · 22 L	+12.4wins	+0.20per pick	44cpaid	+141.7%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x7316…4686backed Yes	6c	5,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes	1c	4,988$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.81	55	7.3%4 W · 51 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes	2c	4,926$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.26	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6400…ed1abacked Yes	8c	4,913$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.06	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes	8c	4,869$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.55	186	29.6%55 W · 131 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…31b0backed Yes	15c	4,688$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf044…8e78backed Yes	1c	4,647$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?this page
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes won
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event