NFL · resolved market
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb222caecba4942b88a87adc145f1c27eb822e6fa2d238731e66074c89125f31e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,086,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,446,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,086,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 0c | 7,921,629$39,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,510.84 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 1c | 6,968,907$39,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,580.19 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 3,755,803$16,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,371.53 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +175.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…e5e7backed Yes | 0c | 2,000,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 0c | 1,562,063$7,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,562.06 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 1,359,276$4,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,403.98 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2a…07bfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 1c | 1,000,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2336…9e65backed Yes | 0c | 730,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa86c…6ec8backed Yes | 0c | 500,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 479,838$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.29 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 1c | 356,190$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,801.94 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +74%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 1c | 305,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 0c | 280,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…42dcbacked Yes | 0c | 268,331$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.99 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ee…9ababacked Yes | 0c | 255,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -87%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f3afbacked Yes | 0c | 245,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…e5bebacked Yes | 1c | 241,184$3,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,108.43 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Yes | 0c | 200,102$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88f3…baa8backed Yes | 0c | 178,932$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.86 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1454…7a4abacked Yes | 1c | 178,214$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0361…2d31backed Yes | 0c | 174,000$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d02…0209backed Yes | 0c | 166,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd4…5830backed Yes | 0c | 166,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…f8c4backed Yes | 0c | 166,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yes | 1c | 164,350$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.75 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x915e…a4b6backed Yes | 1c | 158,422$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 157,000$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…7f65backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf465…ee46backed Yes | 1c | 150,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4f…3b67backed Yes | 1c | 148,713$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f2…39f2backed Yes | 0c | 120,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…47b6backed Yes | 1c | 115,569$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f38…ef2abacked Yes | 1c | 115,052$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…77cebacked Yes | 1c | 113,610$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Yes | 1c | 106,948$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.59 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d5…3ffbbacked Yes | 1c | 106,633$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee0…e031backed Yes | 1c | 106,364$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x640e…31babacked Yes | 1c | 103,845$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…ba65backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05da…ae41backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d2…2768backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x752f…9332backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c9…a27cbacked Yes | 1c | 98,792$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…8c6ebacked Yes | 1c | 94,303$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 1c | 94,000$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.5 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes | 0c | 80,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…2a24backed Yes | 1c | 80,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Yes | 1c | 73,333$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a1…a448backed Yes | 0c | 71,976$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes | 1c | 70,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1b…66bfbacked Yes | 1c | 68,732$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…76f4backed Yes | 1c | 67,990$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 1c | 67,779$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.72 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e5…89acbacked Yes | 1c | 64,550$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…b0d6backed Yes | 1c | 62,229$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…f832backed Yes | 1c | 61,871$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef47…e705backed Yes | 1c | 60,557$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…3e9cbacked Yes | 1c | 60,000$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7023…551fbacked Yes | 1c | 59,876$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df0…aee5backed Yes | 1c | 54,983$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…7311backed Yes | 1c | 54,400$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5d…d912backed Yes | 1c | 53,800$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…1bb5backed Yes | 1c | 53,750$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…8beabacked Yes | 1c | 53,467$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…2bf4backed Yes | 1c | 53,367$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…c72dbacked Yes | 0c | 53,282$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.13 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975d…0764backed Yes | 1c | 52,600$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x871f…5a42backed Yes | 1c | 52,550$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e0…b868backed Yes | 1c | 51,700$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…8bc0backed Yes | 1c | 51,183$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…e2dbbacked Yes | 1c | 50,317$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1623…d4b0backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…82f5backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…1276backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…f5d2backed Yes | 1c | 49,942$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.31 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5222…7117backed Yes | 1c | 48,327$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd268…2ad1backed Yes | 1c | 45,905$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf041…034abacked Yes | 0c | 45,000$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b8…ba77backed Yes | 0c | 45,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a71…358fbacked Yes | 1c | 44,067$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2665…11babacked Yes | 1c | 43,905$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…78ecbacked Yes | 1c | 43,874$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5e…281bbacked Yes | 1c | 43,769$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…8eacbacked Yes | 1c | 43,679$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…802bbacked Yes | 1c | 43,671$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd562…d719backed Yes | 1c | 43,665$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…9102backed Yes | 1c | 43,484$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd665…5886backed Yes | 1c | 43,423$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d7…2122backed Yes | 1c | 43,390$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…2caebacked Yes | 1c | 43,386$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…9cf6backed Yes | 1c | 43,374$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…819ebacked Yes | 1c | 43,307$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…f5d1backed Yes | 1c | 43,280$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e3…70ecbacked Yes | 1c | 43,276$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a16…9e3cbacked Yes | 1c | 43,251$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81eb…caaabacked Yes | 1c | 42,857$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc225…5f45backed Yes | 1c | 42,650$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes won
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.